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LaLiga2
Zaragoza
T T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Ponferradina
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Ponferradina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
49%
37%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
6 Corners 3
15 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 5. · Ponferradina 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 41 19 12 10 +12 69
2 Huesca 41 20 7 14 +12 67
3 Almeria 41 17 12 12 +19 63
4 Girona 41 17 12 12 +7 63
5 Zaragoza 41 17 11 13 +5 62
6 Fuenlabrada 41 15 15 11 +8 60
7 Elche 41 15 13 13 +7 58
8 Vallecano 41 12 21 8 +9 57
9 Las Palmas 42 14 15 13 +3 57
10 Mirandes 41 13 17 11 -3 56
11 Tenerife 41 14 13 14 +5 55
12 Sp Gijon 41 14 12 15 +3 54
13 Alcorcon 41 12 18 11 +0 54
14 Oviedo 41 13 14 14 -3 53
15 Malaga 41 11 19 11 +2 52
16 Ponferradina 41 12 15 14 -4 51
17 Albacete 41 12 13 16 -11 49
18 Lugo 41 11 16 14 -12 49
19 La Coruna 41 11 15 15 -18 48
20 Numancia 41 12 11 18 -9 47
21 Extremadura UD 42 10 13 19 -16 43
22 Santander 41 5 18 18 -16 33

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,28
B
3,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.