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Allsvenskan
Orebro
U U T S T
3–1
Full-time
Mjallby
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orebro Mjallby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
25%
38%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
1,6
2,1
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Orebro 12. · Mjallby 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norrkoping 9 6 2 1 +11 20
2 Malmo FF 9 4 4 1 +4 16
3 Elfsborg 9 4 4 1 -2 16
4 Sirius 9 4 3 2 +3 15
5 Hacken 9 3 5 1 +8 14
6 Varberg 9 4 2 3 +4 14
7 Djurgarden 9 4 1 4 +3 13
8 Mjallby 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 AIK 9 3 3 3 -1 12
10 Hammarby 8 3 2 3 -2 11
11 Goteborg 8 2 3 3 -2 9
12 Orebro 8 2 3 3 -3 9
13 Ostersunds 9 2 2 5 -6 8
14 Helsingborg 9 1 4 4 -7 7
15 Kalmar 9 2 0 7 -5 6
16 Falkenbergs 9 1 3 5 -6 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.