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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Lien
Lillestrom
S U T T U
0–2
Full-time
Sogndal
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Sogndal 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 7 7 0 0 +9 21
2 Ranheim 7 5 0 2 +6 15
3 Sandnes ULF 7 4 2 1 +1 14
4 KFUM Oslo 7 3 3 1 +4 12
5 Jerv 7 2 4 1 +3 10
6 Stjørdals-Blink 7 3 1 3 +0 10
7 Asane 7 3 1 3 +0 10
8 Grorud 7 3 1 3 -1 10
9 Sogndal 6 3 0 3 +2 9
10 Raufoss 7 2 2 3 +1 8
11 Lillestrom 6 2 2 2 +0 8
12 Strommen 7 2 1 4 -4 7
13 Øygarden 7 1 3 3 -3 6
14 Ull/Kisa 7 1 3 3 -4 6
15 Kongsvinger 7 1 1 5 -8 4
16 Ham-Kam 7 0 2 5 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Sogndal
14′
K. Hoven 0–1
19′
E. Kupen 0–2
21′
🟨 M. Blarud
27′
🟨 I. Ogbu
Half-time 0–2
K. Kairinen 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
46′
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
46′
A. Melgalvis 🔁
↦ L. Ranger
46′
46′
🔁 S. Jensen
↦ A. Hoven
49′
🟨 S. Mannsverk Heggheim
63′
🔁 P. Steiring
↦ E. Lereng
65′
🟨 T. Totland
A. Sannes 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
75′
T. Kallevag 🟨
81′
88′
🔁 M. Brændsrød
↦ E. Kupen
92′
🔁 A. Kryger
↦ M. Blårud
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

25 J. Coppens
23 M. Amundsen
3 S. Mikalsen
4 T. Salquist
26 L. Ranger
7 T. Kallevåg
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
Bench (9)
6 K. Kairinen
18 M. Ebiye
33 A. Melgalvis
27 A. Sannes
5 S. Rafn
11 S. Mauritz-Hansen
21 M. Knudsen
12 M. Christiansen
22 P. Slørdahl

Coach: G. Bakke

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
4 M. Roseth
5 D. Eid
2 T. Totland
30 I. Ogbu
16 E. Lereng
17 M. Blårud
7 S. Mannsverk
18 K. Hoven
11 A. Hoven
9 E. Kupen
Bench (8)
24 S. Jensen
3 P. Steiring
20 M. Brændsrød
6 A. Kryger
8 T. Kristoffersen
22 E. Helgesen
23 A. Nord
37 H. Hetle

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.