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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: S Sinnes

Jerv

T U U S S

2–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jerv Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

100%

20%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

3,8

2,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jerv 8. · Lillestrom 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromso	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Ranheim	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	KFUM Oslo	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Sandnes ULF	6	3	2	1	+0	11
5	Asane	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Sogndal	6	3	0	3	+2	9
7	Stjørdals-Blink	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Jerv	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Raufoss	6	2	1	3	+1	7
10	Lillestrom	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Grorud	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Ull/Kisa	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Strommen	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Øygarden	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Kongsvinger	6	1	0	5	-8	3
16	Ham-Kam	6	0	1	5	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromso	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	KFUM Oslo	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Sandnes ULF	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Ull/Kisa	4	1	3	0	+4	6
5	Sogndal	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Raufoss	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Stjørdals-Blink	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Ranheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Strommen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Jerv	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Grorud	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Asane	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Øygarden	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Ham-Kam	3	0	0	3	-3	0
16	Kongsvinger	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ranheim	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Asane	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Jerv	3	1	1	1	+2	4
5	Grorud	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Lillestrom	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Sandnes ULF	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Øygarden	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Sogndal	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Stjørdals-Blink	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Kongsvinger	4	1	0	3	-5	3
12	KFUM Oslo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Raufoss	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Ham-Kam	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Ull/Kisa	2	0	0	2	-6	0
16	Strommen	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.