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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: M Koløy
Lillestrom
T T U T S
2–2
Full-time
Ull/Kisa
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Ull/Kisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
38%
13%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
38%
88%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,4
3,9
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Ull/Kisa 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 9 8 0 1 +12 24
2 Ranheim 9 7 0 2 +14 21
3 Sandnes ULF 9 5 2 2 -2 17
4 Sogndal 9 5 1 3 +6 16
5 Asane 9 4 2 3 +3 14
6 Stjørdals-Blink 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Grorud 9 4 1 4 +0 13
8 Jerv 9 2 6 1 +3 12
9 KFUM Oslo 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Lillestrom 8 3 2 3 -1 11
11 Strommen 9 3 1 5 -4 10
12 Raufoss 9 2 3 4 -2 9
13 Kongsvinger 9 2 2 5 -7 8
14 Ull/Kisa 8 1 3 4 -7 6
15 Øygarden 9 1 3 5 -9 6
16 Ham-Kam 9 0 3 6 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Ull/Kisa
1–0 D. Gustafsson
25′
Half-time 1–0
T. Kallevåg 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
46′
50′
N. Walstad 1–1
52′
🟨 H. Kristiansen
2–1 T. Olsen
54′
S. Mikalsen 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
63′
64′
S. Werni 2–2
K. Kairinen 🟨
75′
S. Mauritz-Hansen 🔁
↦ M. Knudsen
75′
M. Ebiye 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
75′
76′
🔁 V. Kongsro
↦ O. Langås
82′
🔁 S. Jenssen
↦ S. Ringstad
K. Ødemarksbakken 🔁
↦ S. Rafn
87′
88′
🟨 S. Jenssen
90′
🔁 H. Haugen
↦ N. Walstad
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lillestrom

25 J. Coppens
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
4 T. Salquist
33 A. Melgalvis
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
21 M. Knudsen
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (9)
7 T. Kallevåg
3 S. Mikalsen
11 S. Mauritz-Hansen
18 M. Ebiye
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
12 M. Christiansen
22 P. Slørdahl
26 L. Ranger
27 A. Sannes

Coach: G. Bakke

Ull/Kisa

31 S. Hagerup
28 S. Ringstad
20 M. Sundli
6 E. Garnås
5 N. Walstad
8 S. Økland
25 M. Torp
11 C. Aas
16 H. Kristiansen
9 O. Langås
15 S. Werni
Bench (9)
3 V. Kongsro
4 S. Jenssen
29 H. Haugen
17 M. Søreide
21 S. Berge
22 S. Forø
23 S. Rindal
12 C. Gjertsen
24 E. Solberg

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.