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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Lillestrom
T U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Tromso
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 30%
18%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
55%
73%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
19 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 15. · Tromso 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 23 16 4 3 +24 52
2 Brann 23 14 6 3 +14 48
3 Molde 23 12 4 7 +17 40
4 Haugesund 23 11 5 7 +7 38
5 Ranheim 23 10 5 8 -3 35
6 Odd 23 9 6 8 +6 33
7 Valerenga 23 9 6 8 -3 33
8 Sarpsborg 08 23 9 5 9 +6 32
9 Kristiansund 23 8 7 8 -2 31
10 Tromso 22 9 3 10 +2 30
11 Bodo/Glimt 23 6 9 8 -1 27
12 Stromsgodset 23 5 8 10 -1 23
13 Stabaek 23 5 8 10 -13 23
14 Start 23 6 5 12 -17 23
15 Lillestrom 22 4 7 11 -13 19
16 Sandefjord 23 2 8 13 -23 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Tromso
F. Krogstad 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
39′
Half-time 0–0
M. Haakenstad 🔁
↦ S. Mikalsen
58′
62′
🟨 Robert Taylor
67′
🔁 K. Antonsen
↦ D. Berntsen
1–0 A. Smárason
79′
83′
🔁 M. Bakenga
↦ L. Nilsen
R. Ayagwa 🔁
↦ A. Smárason
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-1-1
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
3 S. Mikalsen D
22 S. Antonijevic D
88 A. Smárason F
5 S. Rafn D
23 D. Pedersen M
15 E. Brenden M
33 A. Melgalvis M
6 I. Matthew M
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
14 F. Krogstad
2 M. Haakenstad
12 R. Ayagwa
9 G. Martin
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
24 E. Sandberg
25 M. Igonen

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Tromso

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kongshavn G
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
11 R. Taylor M
17 D. Berntsen F
10 M. Ingebrigtsen F
25 L. Nilsen M
18 O. Valakari M
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (6)
3 K. Antonsen
42 M. Bakenga
2 T. Høgli
6 C. Landu Landu
15 M. Andersen
28 J. Karlstrom

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.