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Eliteserien
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Stromsgodset
T S U U T
2–4
Full-time
Tromso
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 33%
25%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
60%
75%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%
15 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 12. · Tromso 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 20 13 4 3 +20 43
2 Brann 20 12 5 3 +11 41
3 Haugesund 20 11 5 4 +11 38
4 Ranheim 20 10 4 6 -1 34
5 Molde 20 10 3 7 +15 33
6 Sarpsborg 08 20 9 5 6 +11 32
7 Valerenga 20 8 6 6 -2 30
8 Kristiansund 20 7 6 7 -2 27
9 Odd 20 7 5 8 +4 26
10 Tromso 20 8 2 10 +0 26
11 Bodo/Glimt 20 5 8 7 -2 23
12 Stromsgodset 20 5 7 8 +2 22
13 Lillestrom 20 4 7 9 -9 19
14 Stabaek 20 4 6 10 -14 18
15 Start 20 4 4 12 -21 16
16 Sandefjord 20 2 5 13 -23 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Tromso
1–0 E. Andersen
22′
29′
M. Ingebrigtsen 1–1
L. Nilsen
36′
R. Taylor 1–2
Half-time 1–2
Marcus Pedersen 🔁
↦ M. Abdellaoue
46′
2–2 E. Andersen
50′
Tokmac Chol Nguen 🟨
61′
63′
J. Gundersen 2–3
D. Berntsen
Jakob Glesnes 🟨
68′
73′
🔁 O. Valakari
↦ T. Høgli
K. Tokstad 🔁
↦ A. Pellegrino
74′
74′
🔁 M. Andersen
↦ L. Nilsen
78′
O. Valakari 2–4
G. Åsen
Francisco Júnior 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
79′
Kristoffer Tokstad 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Gjermund Aasen
90′
🔁 H. Norbye
↦ S. Wangberg
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-1-4-1
20 P. Heigre G
3 J. Parr D
39 L. Sætra
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
7 H. Stengel M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
90 A. Pellegrino M
Bench (7)
10 Marcus Pedersen
11 K. Tokstad
19 Francisco Júnior
8 J. Hove
1 E. Pettersen
4 K. Madsen
17 C. Lindquist

Coach: T. Skullerud

Tromso

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kongshavn G
2 T. Høgli D
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
11 R. Taylor M
17 D. Berntsen F
10 M. Ingebrigtsen F
25 L. Nilsen M
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (6)
18 O. Valakari
15 M. Andersen
14 H. Norbye
6 C. Landu Landu
28 J. Karlstrom
42 M. Bakenga

Coach: S. Valakari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sigurd Smehus Kringstad · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.