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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Tromso
T T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 26%
30%
22%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
61%
61%
Both score Ø 61%
48%
74%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 9
1 Blocked shots 5
8 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 12. · Lillestrom 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 23 17 5 1 +36 56
2 Odd 23 12 5 6 +9 41
3 Haugesund 24 11 7 6 +5 40
4 Brann 23 11 5 7 +10 38
5 Molde 23 11 5 7 +6 38
6 Sarpsborg 08 23 10 6 7 +0 36
7 Stromsgodset 23 10 5 8 +5 35
8 Viking 23 9 6 8 -3 33
9 Valerenga 24 8 6 10 +0 30
10 Sogndal 23 6 10 7 -3 28
11 Bodo/Glimt 23 7 6 10 -3 27
12 Tromso 23 7 6 10 -6 27
13 Lillestrom 23 5 8 10 -6 23
14 Aalesund 23 6 5 12 -13 23
15 Stabaek 23 5 6 12 -7 21
16 Start 23 0 9 14 -30 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Lillestrom
1–0 G. Åsen
M. Andersen
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Malec
↦ O. Rindarøy
66′
T. Malec 1–1
S. Mikalsen
S. Moussa 🔁
↦ G. Åsen
70′
A. Sigurdarson 🔁
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
77′
80′
🔁 I. Mathew
↦ G. Martin
Kent-Are Antonsen 🟨
90′
2–1 T. Olsen
S. Moussa
90′
S. Wangberg 🔁
↦ M. Andersen
93′
94′
🔁 S. Sinyan
↦ M. Lundemo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tromso

4-2-3-1
12 F. Lončarić
5 M. Ødegaard D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
15 M. Andersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
30 R. Espejord F
Bench (7)
9 S. Moussa
17 A. Sigurdarson
22 S. Wangberg
4 H. Gjesdal
11 J. Johansen
27 F. Michalsen
28 J. Karlstrom

Coach: B. Flovik

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
16 H. Skogseid D
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
5 O. Rindarøy M
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
11 E. Knudtzon F
19 G. Martin F
Bench (6)
23 T. Malec
6 I. Mathew
26 S. Sinyan
1 H. Björnsson
18 B. Innocent
21 P. Olsen

Coach: R. Kristinsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.