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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Liverpool
S S U
0–3
Full-time
West Ham
S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,7
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
0,7
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Liverpool 4. · West Ham 11. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Leicester 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Liverpool 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Arsenal 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Crystal Palace 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Swansea 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Everton 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Norwich 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Chelsea 3 1 1 1 -2 4
11 West Ham 3 1 0 2 +0 3
12 Watford 3 0 3 0 +0 3
13 Bournemouth 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Aston Villa 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Tottenham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Stoke 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Newcastle 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Southampton 3 0 2 1 -3 2
19 Sunderland 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 West Brom 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Liverpool West Ham
3′
⚽ M. Lanzini 0–1
A. Cresswell
29′
⚽ M. Noble 0–2
38′
🟨 Mark Noble
Philippe Coutinho 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
Alberto Moreno 🔁
↦ E. Can
46′
Philippe Coutinho 🟨
52′
Philippe Coutinho 🟥
52′
D. Ings 🔁
↦ Roberto Firmino
61′
Lucas Leiva 🟨
70′
78′
🟥 Mark Noble
J. Ibe 🔁
↦ J. Gomez
78′
81′
🟨 Manuel Lanzini
82′
🔁 R. Oxford
↦ M. Lanzini
Danny Ings 🟨
86′
88′
🔁 M. Jarvis
↦ D. Payet
Nathaniel Clyne 🟨
90′
92′
⚽ D. Sakho 0–3
96′
🔁 J. Cullen
↦ D. Sakho
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Liverpool

22 S. Mignolet G
37 M. Škrtel D
6 D. Lovren D
2 N. Clyne D
12 J. Gomez D
7 J. Milner M
21 Lucas Leiva M
10 Philippe Coutinho F
23 E. Can M
9 C. Benteke F
11 Roberto Firmino F
Bench (7)
18 Alberto Moreno
28 D. Ings
33 J. Ibe
17 M. Sakho
27 D. Origi
34 A. Bogdán
46 J. Rossiter

West Ham

1 D. Randolph G
21 A. Ogbonna D
2 W. Reid D
5 J. Tomkins D
3 A. Cresswell D
27 D. Payet F
16 M. Noble M
8 C. Kouyaté M
14 Pedro Obiang M
28 M. Lanzini F
15 D. Sakho F
Bench (7)
35 R. Oxford
7 M. Jarvis
39 J. Cullen
34 R. Spiegel
42 M. Samuelsen
36 E. Lee
45 K. Knoyle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.