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Premier League
Referee: Roger East
Burnley
S U T U U
1–2
Full-time
Liverpool
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
This season — Premier League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 48%
43%
52%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
24%
67%
Both score Ø 41%
29%
52%
Average goals
1,7
3,4
Scored
0,9
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burnley 7. · Liverpool 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 21 19 2 0 +49 59
2 Chelsea 21 14 3 4 +25 45
3 Man United 21 13 5 3 +27 44
4 Liverpool 21 11 8 2 +24 41
5 Arsenal 21 11 5 5 +12 38
6 Tottenham 20 11 4 5 +19 37
7 Burnley 21 9 7 5 +1 34
8 Leicester 21 7 6 8 -1 27
9 Everton 21 7 6 8 -7 27
10 Watford 21 7 4 10 -7 25
11 Huddersfield 21 6 6 9 -14 24
12 Brighton 22 5 8 9 -10 23
13 Bournemouth 22 5 6 11 -12 21
14 Southampton 21 4 8 9 -10 20
15 Stoke 21 5 5 11 -23 20
16 Newcastle 21 5 4 12 -11 19
17 Crystal Palace 21 4 7 10 -14 19
18 West Ham 20 4 6 10 -16 18
19 West Brom 21 2 10 9 -13 16
20 Swansea 21 4 4 13 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley Liverpool
Half-time 0–1
61′
S. Mané 0–1
S. Vokes 🔁
↦ J. Hendrick
71′
72′
🔁 Roberto Firmino
↦ S. Mané
N. Wells 🔁
↦ S. Arfield
86′
86′
🔁 J. Milner
↦ A. Lallana
1–1 J. Guðmunds­son
S. Vokes
87′
94′
R. Klavan 1–2
D. Lovren
96′
🔁 J. Matip
↦ A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Burnley

4-4-1-1
29 N. Pope G
26 P. Bardsley D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
16 S. Defour M
37 S. Arfield M
4 J. Cork M
17 J. Guðmunds­son M
13 J. Hendrick F
10 A. Barnes F
Bench (7)
9 S. Vokes
21 N. Wells
2 M. Lowton
18 A. Westwood
19 J. Walters
22 A. Lindegaard
28 K. Long

Coach: S. Dyche

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
17 R. Klavan D
6 D. Lovren D
12 J. Gomez D
66 T. Alexander-Arnold D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
20 A. Lallana M
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain M
23 E. Can M
19 S. Mané M
29 D. Solanke F
Bench (7)
9 Roberto Firmino
7 J. Milner
32 J. Matip
1 L. Karius
26 A. Robertson
28 D. Ings
58 B. Woodburn

Coach: J. Klopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Roger East · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.