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Premier League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Brighton
T U T T T
0–0
Full-time
Burnley
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
This season — Premier League · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 39%
24%
53%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 24%
29%
18%
Both score Ø 32%
35%
29%
Average goals
2,2
1,6
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 13. · Burnley 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 17 16 1 0 +41 49
2 Man United 17 12 2 3 +26 38
3 Chelsea 17 11 2 4 +17 35
4 Tottenham 17 9 4 4 +16 31
5 Liverpool 17 8 7 2 +14 31
6 Burnley 17 9 4 4 +4 31
7 Arsenal 17 9 3 5 +10 30
8 Leicester 18 7 5 6 +1 26
9 Watford 17 6 4 7 -3 22
10 Everton 17 6 4 7 -8 22
11 Southampton 17 4 6 7 -6 18
12 Huddersfield 17 5 3 9 -17 18
13 Brighton 17 4 5 8 -9 17
14 Crystal Palace 18 4 5 9 -13 17
15 Bournemouth 17 4 4 9 -5 16
16 Stoke 17 4 4 9 -17 16
17 Newcastle 17 4 3 10 -10 15
18 West Brom 17 2 8 7 -10 14
19 West Ham 17 3 5 9 -18 14
20 Swansea 17 3 3 11 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton Burnley
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Charlie Taylor
T. Hemed 🔁
↦ G. Murray
63′
Solly March 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 A. Barnes
↦ S. Defour
72′
🟨 Ashley Barnes
I. Brown 🔁
↦ P. Groß
75′
Dale Stephens 🟨
77′
81′
🔁 S. Vokes
↦ C. Wood
J. Izquierdo 🔁
↦ A. Knockaert
83′
Lewis Dunk 🟨
87′
Shane Duffy 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Brighton

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ryan G
3 G. Bong D
2 Bruno Saltor D
22 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
6 D. Stephens M
13 P. Groß M
24 D. Pröpper M
11 A. Knockaert M
20 S. March M
17 G. Murray F
Bench (7)
10 T. Hemed
37 I. Brown
19 J. Izquierdo
7 B. Kayal
18 C. Goldson
21 E. Schelotto
26 T. Krul

Coach: C. Hughton

Burnley

4-4-1-1
29 N. Pope G
26 P. Bardsley D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
16 S. Defour M
37 S. Arfield M
4 J. Cork M
17 J. Guðmunds­son M
13 J. Hendrick F
11 C. Wood F
Bench (7)
10 A. Barnes
9 S. Vokes
2 M. Lowton
18 A. Westwood
21 N. Wells
22 A. Lindegaard
28 K. Long

Coach: S. Dyche

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.