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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Valerenga

S T U S U

3–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 58%

54%

62%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

62% Possession 38%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 7. · Lillestrom 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	13	7	4	2	+19	25
2	Rosenborg	13	7	4	2	+10	25
3	Sarpsborg 08	13	7	3	3	+10	24
4	Odd	13	6	3	4	+0	21
5	Molde	13	6	2	5	+5	20
6	Aalesund	13	5	4	4	+2	19
7	Valerenga	13	5	3	5	-1	18
8	Haugesund	13	5	3	5	-1	18
9	Stabaek	13	5	3	5	-4	18
10	Lillestrom	13	5	2	6	-1	17
11	Sandefjord	13	5	2	6	-5	17
12	Sogndal	13	4	4	5	-1	16
13	Stromsgodset	13	3	5	5	-5	14
14	Kristiansund	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Tromso	13	3	4	6	-9	13
16	Viking	13	2	2	9	-12	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	7	5	2	0	+18	17
2	Sarpsborg 08	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Rosenborg	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Odd	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Molde	6	4	0	2	+8	12
6	Valerenga	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Kristiansund	7	3	3	1	+3	12
8	Sogndal	7	3	2	2	+6	11
9	Stromsgodset	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Stabaek	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Sandefjord	6	3	2	1	+2	11
12	Aalesund	6	3	0	3	+2	9
13	Haugesund	6	2	3	1	+0	9
14	Lillestrom	7	3	0	4	-1	9
15	Viking	6	2	0	4	-1	6
16	Tromso	6	1	3	2	-2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
2	Aalesund	7	2	4	1	+0	10
3	Haugesund	7	3	0	4	-1	9
4	Brann	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Lillestrom	6	2	2	2	+0	8
6	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Molde	7	2	2	3	-3	8
8	Odd	7	2	2	3	-5	8
9	Stabaek	6	2	1	3	-6	7
10	Tromso	7	2	1	4	-7	7
11	Valerenga	6	2	0	4	-5	6
12	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-7	6
13	Sogndal	6	1	2	3	-7	5
14	Stromsgodset	7	0	3	4	-9	3
15	Viking	7	0	2	5	-11	2
16	Kristiansund	6	0	1	5	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.