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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Valerenga
U T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
32%
25%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
46%
64%
Both score Ø 63%
46%
79%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 11. · Lillestrom 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 28 20 6 2 +41 66
2 Brann 28 14 6 8 +13 48
3 Odd 28 14 6 8 +9 48
4 Haugesund 28 12 8 8 +4 44
5 Sarpsborg 08 28 12 8 8 -1 44
6 Molde 28 12 6 10 +4 42
7 Stromsgodset 28 11 7 10 +2 40
8 Viking 28 11 7 10 -2 40
9 Aalesund 28 11 5 12 -7 38
10 Sogndal 28 8 12 8 +0 36
11 Valerenga 28 9 7 12 +0 34
12 Lillestrom 28 7 9 12 -6 30
13 Bodo/Glimt 28 8 6 14 -6 30
14 Tromso 28 8 6 14 -12 30
15 Stabaek 28 7 7 14 -7 28
16 Start 28 2 10 16 -32 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Lillestrom
20′
🟨 Frode Kippe
Mohammed Abdellaoue 🟨
21′
32′
G. Martin 0–1
I. Mathew
H. Stengel 🔁
↦ M. Lekven
42′
Half-time 0–1
51′
🟨 Matthew Ifeanyi
H. Johansen 🔁
↦ S. Juklerød
60′
Simon Larsen 🟨
64′
V. Sakor 🔁
↦ D. Holm
69′
80′
🔁 M. Ofkir
↦ Bassel Jradi
1–1 V. Sakor
80′
86′
🔁 S. Sinyan
↦ B. Innocent
Herman Stengel 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Erling Knudtzon
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sandberg G
4 J. Nation D
6 S. Larsen D
15 M. Nakkim D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
7 D. Holm M
10 G. Zahid M
21 S. Juklerød D
25 M. Abdellaoue F
9 R. Lindkvist M
Bench (7)
14 H. Stengel
20 H. Johansen
16 V. Sakor
5 R. Lundström
30 A. Falch
33 A. Nedrebø
39 E. Agyiri

Coach: K. Rekdal

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
7 Bassel Jradi M
18 B. Innocent M
6 I. Mathew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
19 G. Martin F
23 T. Malec F
Bench (7)
20 M. Ofkir
26 S. Sinyan
1 H. Björnsson
5 O. Rindarøy
15 E. Brenden
21 P. Olsen
24 E. Sandberg

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.