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Premier League

Referee: Kevin Friend

Tottenham

T S S S S

0–1

Full-time

Man City

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,8

Conceded

0,8

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,7

This season — Premier League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 78%

78%

Points per game

2,3

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 45%

56%

33%

Average goals

2,6

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,9

Conceded

0,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

4 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

4 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tottenham 5. · Man City 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Chelsea	10	7	3	0	+17	24
3	Man City	9	7	2	0	+23	23
4	Arsenal	10	7	1	2	+11	22
5	Tottenham	9	7	0	2	+9	21
6	Bournemouth	10	6	2	2	+7	20
7	Watford	10	6	1	3	+4	19
8	Man United	10	5	2	3	+0	17
9	Everton	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Wolves	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Brighton	10	4	2	4	-2	14
12	Leicester	10	4	1	5	+0	13
13	West Ham	10	2	2	6	-6	8
14	Crystal Palace	10	2	2	6	-6	8
15	Burnley	10	2	2	6	-11	8
16	Southampton	10	1	4	5	-8	7
17	Cardiff	10	1	2	7	-14	5
18	Fulham	10	1	2	7	-17	5
19	Newcastle	10	0	3	7	-8	3
20	Huddersfield	10	0	3	7	-17	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Liverpool	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+6	12
4	Watford	6	4	0	2	+2	12
5	Chelsea	5	3	2	0	+6	11
6	Bournemouth	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	Everton	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Brighton	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Man United	5	3	1	1	+0	10
10	Wolves	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Leicester	5	2	1	2	+2	7
12	Tottenham	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	West Ham	5	1	1	3	-1	4
14	Burnley	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Cardiff	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Fulham	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Southampton	5	0	3	2	-4	3
18	Crystal Palace	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Huddersfield	5	0	1	4	-7	1
20	Newcastle	5	0	0	5	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	6	5	0	1	+7	15
2	Chelsea	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Liverpool	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Bournemouth	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Man City	4	2	2	0	+7	8
7	Watford	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Man United	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Wolves	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Crystal Palace	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	Leicester	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Everton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Southampton	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Brighton	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	West Ham	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Burnley	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Newcastle	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Huddersfield	5	0	2	3	-10	2
19	Cardiff	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Fulham	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.