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Premier League

Referee: Mike Dean

Tottenham

S T T S S

1–0

Full-time

Cardiff

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Cardiff

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,7

This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 36%

71%

Points per game

2,1

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

86%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

2,0

0,6

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

75% Possession 25%

19 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 0

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 2

0 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Tottenham 4. · Cardiff 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Liverpool	7	6	1	0	+12	19
3	Chelsea	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Tottenham	7	5	0	2	+7	15
5	Arsenal	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	Watford	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Bournemouth	7	4	1	2	+0	13
8	Leicester	7	4	0	3	+3	12
9	Wolves	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Man United	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	Everton	7	2	3	2	+0	9
12	Brighton	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Burnley	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Crystal Palace	7	2	1	4	-3	7
15	West Ham	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Southampton	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Fulham	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Newcastle	7	0	2	5	-6	2
19	Cardiff	7	0	2	5	-12	2
20	Huddersfield	7	0	2	5	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Chelsea	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Bournemouth	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Arsenal	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Watford	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Wolves	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Everton	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Brighton	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Leicester	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Fulham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	West Ham	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Man United	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Tottenham	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Burnley	3	1	0	2	+0	3
16	Southampton	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Crystal Palace	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Huddersfield	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Cardiff	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Newcastle	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	Liverpool	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Man City	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Chelsea	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Man United	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Leicester	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Watford	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Wolves	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Burnley	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Southampton	4	1	0	3	-4	3
13	West Ham	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Bournemouth	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Newcastle	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Everton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Brighton	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Cardiff	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Huddersfield	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Fulham	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.