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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Tromso
T S T T T
2–4
Full-time
Molde
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 47%
37%
56%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 10. · Molde 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 27 17 6 4 +24 57
2 Brann 27 15 7 5 +13 52
3 Molde 27 15 5 7 +21 50
4 Haugesund 27 14 5 8 +10 47
5 Kristiansund 28 12 7 9 +5 43
6 Ranheim 27 12 6 9 -3 42
7 Odd 27 11 7 9 +7 40
8 Valerenga 27 10 7 10 -6 37
9 Sarpsborg 08 27 10 6 11 +5 36
10 Tromso 27 10 3 14 -4 33
11 Stromsgodset 27 7 8 12 +0 29
12 Bodo/Glimt 27 6 11 10 -3 29
13 Start 27 8 5 14 -18 29
14 Lillestrom 27 6 9 12 -12 27
15 Stabaek 28 5 10 13 -16 25
16 Sandefjord 27 3 10 14 -23 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Molde
D. Berntsen 🔁
↦ K. Antonsen
13′
20′
E. Hussain 0–1
K. Haugen
1–1 O. Valakari
28′
36′
F. Aursnes 1–2
M. Eikrem
Half-time 1–3
57′
M. Eikrem 1–3
F. Aursnes
2–3 R. Taylor
G. Åsen
67′
S. Grönli 🔁
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
73′
73′
🔁 P. Cibicki
↦ M. Eikrem
76′
🔁 B. Sarr
↦ L. James
79′
🔁 M. Mostrøm
↦ E. Hussain
Robert Taylor 🟨
84′
Onni Valakari 🟨
84′
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ M. Andersen
92′
92′
P. Cibicki 2–4
M. Mostrøm
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Tromso

3-1-4-2
1 G. Kongshavn G
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
15 M. Andersen M
11 R. Taylor M
10 M. Ingebrigtsen F
18 O. Valakari M
23 G. Åsen F
Bench (7)
17 D. Berntsen
16 S. Grönli
34 M. Pedersen
2 T. Høgli
6 C. Landu Landu
14 H. Norbye
28 J. Karlstrom

Coach: S. Valakari

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 A. Linde G
5 V. Forren D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
28 K. Haugen D
22 C. Remmer D
14 P. Strand M
7 M. Eikrem M
16 E. Hussain M
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
10 L. James F
Bench (7)
24 P. Cibicki
8 B. Sarr
9 M. Mostrøm
6 S. Gregersen
26 M. Ranmark
27 D. Chima
37 E. Breivik

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.