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Premier League

Referee: Roger East

Bournemouth

T T U T S

4–0

Full-time

Chelsea

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bournemouth Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 50%

39%

61%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

70%

57%

Both score Ø 48%

48%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

12 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 6

8 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bournemouth 12. · Chelsea 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	23	19	3	1	+41	60
2	Man City	24	18	2	4	+44	56
3	Tottenham	23	17	0	6	+25	51
4	Chelsea	23	14	5	4	+21	47
5	Arsenal	24	14	5	5	+17	47
6	Man United	24	13	6	5	+13	45
7	Wolves	24	10	5	9	-1	35
8	Everton	24	9	6	9	+2	33
9	Watford	23	9	6	8	+0	33
10	Leicester	23	9	4	10	+0	31
11	West Ham	24	9	4	11	-7	31
12	Bournemouth	23	9	3	11	-9	30
13	Brighton	24	7	5	12	-9	26
14	Newcastle	24	6	6	12	-11	24
15	Burnley	24	6	5	13	-20	23
16	Crystal Palace	23	6	4	13	-9	22
17	Southampton	23	5	7	11	-15	22
18	Cardiff	24	5	4	15	-26	19
19	Fulham	24	4	5	15	-28	17
20	Huddersfield	24	2	5	17	-28	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	12	11	0	1	+30	33
2	Arsenal	13	10	2	1	+17	32
3	Liverpool	11	10	1	0	+25	31
4	Chelsea	12	7	4	1	+12	25
5	Man United	12	7	4	1	+9	25
6	Bournemouth	12	6	3	3	+4	21
7	Everton	12	6	3	3	+4	21
8	Wolves	13	6	2	5	+1	20
9	Tottenham	10	6	0	4	+8	18
10	Brighton	11	5	3	3	+3	18
11	West Ham	12	5	2	5	-1	17
12	Watford	12	5	2	5	-2	17
13	Fulham	12	4	3	5	-6	15
14	Leicester	11	4	2	5	+1	14
15	Cardiff	12	4	2	6	-10	14
16	Newcastle	13	4	1	8	-6	13
17	Burnley	11	4	1	6	-7	13
18	Southampton	11	2	5	4	-5	11
19	Crystal Palace	11	2	3	6	-5	9
20	Huddersfield	13	1	2	10	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	13	11	0	2	+17	33
2	Liverpool	12	9	2	1	+16	29
3	Man City	12	7	2	3	+14	23
4	Chelsea	11	7	1	3	+9	22
5	Man United	12	6	2	4	+4	20
6	Leicester	12	5	2	5	-1	17
7	Watford	11	4	4	3	+2	16
8	Arsenal	11	4	3	4	+0	15
9	Wolves	11	4	3	4	-2	15
10	West Ham	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Crystal Palace	12	4	1	7	-4	13
12	Everton	12	3	3	6	-2	12
13	Newcastle	11	2	5	4	-5	11
14	Southampton	12	3	2	7	-10	11
15	Burnley	13	2	4	7	-13	10
16	Bournemouth	11	3	0	8	-13	9
17	Brighton	13	2	2	9	-12	8
18	Huddersfield	11	1	3	7	-13	6
19	Cardiff	12	1	2	9	-16	5
20	Fulham	12	0	2	10	-22	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.