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Championship

Referee: Dean Whitestone

QPR

T U S

4–2

Full-time

Rotherham

T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Rotherham

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match QPR 15. · Rotherham 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ipswich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Hull	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Milton Keynes Dons	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Middlesbrough	3	1	2	0	+3	5
6	Charlton	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Sheffield Weds	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Preston	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Brentford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Wolves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Leeds	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Derby	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	QPR	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Cardiff	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Blackburn	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Reading	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Burnley	3	0	2	1	-2	2
20	Huddersfield	3	0	2	1	-2	2
21	Fulham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Bristol City	3	0	1	2	-4	1
23	Rotherham	3	0	1	2	-4	1
24	Bolton	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ipswich	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sheffield Weds	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Nott'm Forest	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Charlton	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milton Keynes Dons	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Huddersfield	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Derby	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Brentford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Wolves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
21	Blackburn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Bristol City	2	0	1	1	-2	1
23	Rotherham	2	0	1	1	-3	1
24	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Preston	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	QPR	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Cardiff	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Leeds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Derby	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Middlesbrough	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Charlton	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Blackburn	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Hull	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Fulham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Reading	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Sheffield Weds	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Burnley	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Bolton	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Rotherham

1–0 T. Chery ⚽

C. Austin

42′

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 T. Thorpe

↦ R. Smallwood

2–0 T. Chery ⚽

M. Luongo

50′

Charlie Austin 🟨

62′

3–0 C. Austin ⚽

R. Green

63′

68′

🔁 A. White

↦ E. Ledesma

69′

🟨 Lewis Buxton

72′

⚽ J. Clarke-Harris 3–1

L. Frecklington

M. Doughty 🔁

↦ A. Faurlin

77′

78′

🔁 C. Maguire

↦ G. Ward

79′

🟨 Chris Maguire

S. Polter 🔁

↦ M. Luongo

82′

88′

⚽ T. Thorpe 3–2

D. Collins

4–2 C. Austin ⚽

90′

C. Kpekawa 🔁

↦ T. Chery

92′

Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

QPR

1 R. Green G

15 P. Konchesky D

5 N. Onuoha D

24 J. Perch D

4 G. Hall D

20 K. Henry M

T. Chery M

18 A. Faurlin M

7 M. Phillips M

21 M. Luongo M

9 C. Austin F

Bench (7)

16 M. Doughty

33 S. Polter

42 C. Kpekawa

25 A. Smithies

6 C. Hill

14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas

23 J. Hoilett

Rotherham

1 K. Roos G

15 G. Halford M

2 L. Buxton D

4 D. Collins D

8 L. Frecklington M

33 R. Smallwood M

J. Newell M

17 G. Ward M

27 M. Derbyshire F

10 E. Ledesma M

19 J. Clarke-Harris F

Bench (7)

23 T. Thorpe

14 A. White

7 C. Maguire

9 D. Ward

11 P. Green

20 F. Rawson

21 A. Collin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

19. Aug CH 11 years ago

15. Aug CH 11 years ago

8. Aug CH 11 years ago

Referee

Dean Whitestone · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,3 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

10,6 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

QPR

Rotherham

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee