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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Rotherham
T S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Reading
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Championship · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 37%
18%
55%
Points per game
0,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
73%
36%
Both score Ø 64%
82%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
19 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 23. · Reading 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 11 7 4 0 +7 25
2 Reading 11 6 3 2 +10 21
3 Middlesbrough 11 6 3 2 +10 21
4 Birmingham 11 6 3 2 +7 21
5 Burnley 11 6 3 2 +5 21
6 Derby 11 5 5 1 +7 20
7 Hull 11 5 4 2 +6 19
8 Cardiff 11 4 5 2 +3 17
9 Sheffield Weds 11 4 4 3 +1 16
10 Ipswich 11 4 4 3 -2 16
11 Wolves 11 4 3 4 +2 15
12 QPR 11 4 3 4 -3 15
13 Fulham 11 3 4 4 +1 13
14 Nott'm Forest 11 3 3 5 -3 12
15 Blackburn 11 2 5 4 -1 11
16 Milton Keynes Dons 11 3 2 6 -2 11
17 Huddersfield 11 2 5 4 -4 11
18 Leeds 11 2 5 4 -5 11
19 Brentford 11 3 2 6 -6 11
20 Charlton 11 2 4 5 -4 10
21 Bristol City 11 2 4 5 -6 10
22 Preston 11 1 5 5 -6 8
23 Rotherham 11 2 2 7 -8 8
24 Bolton 11 1 5 5 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rotherham Reading
26′
N. Blackman 0–1
O. Norwood
Half-time 1–1
1–1 D. Collins
T. Andreu
48′
Danny Collins 🟨
58′
62′
🔁 M. Vydra
↦ G. McCleary
62′
🔁 P. Hurtado
↦ Lucas Piazon
69′
🟨 Andrew Taylor
Harry Toffolo 🟨
72′
J. Bowery 🔁
↦ M. Derbyshire
80′
C. Maguire 🔁
↦ T. Andreu
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Rotherham

1 L. Camp G
2 L. Buxton D
4 D. Collins D
23 T. Thorpe D
30 H. Toffolo D
20 F. Rawson D
11 P. Green M
24 T. Andreu M
17 G. Ward M
27 M. Derbyshire F
19 J. Clarke-Harris F
Bench (7)
18 J. Bowery
7 C. Maguire
5 K. Broadfoot
10 E. Ledesma
14 A. White
16 F. Richardson
21 A. Collin

Reading

26 Ali Al Habsi G
3 A. Taylor D
5 P. McShane D
2 C. Gunter D
8 M. Hector D
12 G. McCleary M
23 D. Williams M
6 O. Norwood M
10 Orlando Sá F
22 N. Blackman F
17 Lucas Piazon F
Bench (7)
7 M. Vydra
16 P. Hurtado
11 J. Obita
19 Álex
35 J. Cooper
40 S. Moore
41 R. Liburd

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.