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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
Bristol City
T T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Charlton
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Charlton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,2
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 18%
18%
18%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
8 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 20. · Charlton 23.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 22 14 4 4 +21 46
2 Brighton 22 11 10 1 +8 43
3 Derby 21 11 8 2 +18 41
4 Hull 21 12 5 4 +17 41
5 Burnley 22 10 8 4 +10 38
6 Ipswich 22 9 7 6 +2 34
7 Cardiff 22 8 9 5 +4 33
8 Birmingham 22 9 6 7 +4 33
9 Brentford 23 9 6 8 +2 33
10 Sheffield Weds 21 8 8 5 +5 32
11 Reading 22 8 6 8 +3 30
12 QPR 22 7 8 7 -1 29
13 Leeds 22 7 8 7 -2 29
14 Blackburn 22 6 10 6 +3 28
15 Nott'm Forest 22 7 7 8 +1 28
16 Preston 22 5 10 7 -1 25
17 Wolves 22 6 7 9 -4 25
18 Fulham 22 5 9 8 -3 24
19 Huddersfield 22 5 6 11 -10 21
20 Bristol City 22 4 8 10 -17 20
21 Milton Keynes Dons 22 5 4 13 -12 19
22 Rotherham 22 5 3 14 -14 18
23 Charlton 22 4 6 12 -19 18
24 Bolton 22 1 11 10 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Charlton
32′
🔁 N. Sarr
↦ A. Diarra
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Holmes-Dennis
↦ J. Cousins
1–0 N. Baker
L. Freeman
51′
52′
🟨 Ademola Lookman
54′
🔁 E. Ba
↦ Ricardo Vaz Té
Aaron Wilbraham 🟨
75′
Luke Freeman 🟨
89′
93′
H. Lennon 1–1
W. Burns 🔁
↦ J. Kodjia
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

1 F. Fielding G
4 A. Flint D
17 N. Baker D
5 L. Ayling D
7 K. Smith M
13 E. Bennett M
21 M. Pack M
23 J. Bryan D
18 A. Wilbraham F
22 J. Kodjia F
15 L. Freeman M
Bench (7)
20 W. Burns
2 M. Little
3 D. Williams
9 S. Cox
14 B. Reid
16 L. Moore
24 M. O’Leary

Charlton

1 S. Henderson
20 C. Solly D
21 M. Fox D
26 H. Lennon D
12 A. Diarra M
4 J. Jackson M
8 J. Cousins M
2 Ricardo Vaz Té F
16 R. Ghoochannejhad F
9 S. Makienok F
37 A. Lookman F
Bench (7)
6 N. Sarr
17 T. Holmes-Dennis
22 E. Ba
18 K. Ahearne-Grant
24 R. Charles-Cook
30 N. Pope
44 F. Moussa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.