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Championship
Referee: Darren Drysdale
Ipswich
S T S S T
2–1
Full-time
QPR
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Championship · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 37%
41%
32%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
7 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 6. · QPR 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 22 14 4 4 +21 46
2 Brighton 22 11 10 1 +8 43
3 Derby 21 11 8 2 +18 41
4 Hull 21 12 5 4 +17 41
5 Burnley 22 10 8 4 +10 38
6 Ipswich 22 9 7 6 +2 34
7 Cardiff 22 8 9 5 +4 33
8 Birmingham 22 9 6 7 +4 33
9 Brentford 23 9 6 8 +2 33
10 Sheffield Weds 21 8 8 5 +5 32
11 Reading 22 8 6 8 +3 30
12 QPR 22 7 8 7 -1 29
13 Leeds 22 7 8 7 -2 29
14 Blackburn 22 6 10 6 +3 28
15 Nott'm Forest 22 7 7 8 +1 28
16 Preston 22 5 10 7 -1 25
17 Wolves 22 6 7 9 -4 25
18 Fulham 22 5 9 8 -3 24
19 Huddersfield 22 5 6 11 -10 21
20 Bristol City 22 4 8 10 -17 20
21 Milton Keynes Dons 22 5 4 13 -12 19
22 Rotherham 22 5 3 14 -14 18
23 Charlton 22 4 6 12 -19 18
24 Bolton 22 1 11 10 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich QPR
Half-time 0–1
49′
J. Hoilett 0–1
L. Fer
R. Fraser 🔁
↦ A. Maitland-Niles
61′
66′
🟨 Paul Konchesky
T. Oar 🔁
↦ B. Pitman
68′
71′
🔁 Sandro
↦ L. Fer
1–1 J. Douglas
77′
83′
🔁 T. Chery
↦ M. Phillips
Thomas Oar 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Nedum Onuoha
L. Varney 🔁
↦ D. Murphy
91′
2–1 L. Chambers
F. Sears
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ipswich

1 D. Gerken G
6 C. Berra D
4 L. Chambers D
5 T. Smith D
3 J. Knudsen D
22 J. Douglas M
8 C. Skuse M
7 A. Maitland-Niles M
9 D. Murphy F
20 F. Sears F
11 B. Pitman F
Bench (7)
14 R. Fraser
15 T. Oar
42 L. Varney
17 K. Bru
33 B. Bialkowski
19 L. Hyam
21 P. Malarczyk

QPR

1 R. Green G
15 P. Konchesky D
5 N. Onuoha D
26 G. Angella D
4 G. Hall D
20 K. Henry M
10 L. Fer M
18 A. Faurlin M
7 M. Phillips M
23 J. Hoilett F
33 S. Polter F
Bench (7)
30 Sandro
8 T. Chery
25 A. Smithies
28 D. Tőzsér
21 M. Luongo
6 C. Hill
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Darren Drysdale · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
1,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.