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Bundesliga
Referee: Gunter Perl
Stuttgart
T U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Hamburg
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
72%
56%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
2,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
24 Shots 12
11 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 8
10 Corners 4
3 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 16. · Hamburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 16 1 1 +39 49
2 Dortmund 19 14 2 3 +28 44
3 Hertha 19 10 4 5 +8 34
4 Leverkusen 19 9 4 6 +8 31
5 Schalke 04 19 9 3 7 +0 30
6 M'gladbach 19 9 2 8 +1 29
7 Mainz 19 8 3 8 +0 27
8 Wolfsburg 18 7 5 6 +4 26
9 FC Koln 18 6 6 6 -5 24
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 19 6 5 8 -8 23
11 Hamburg 18 6 4 8 -5 22
12 Augsburg 19 5 6 8 -5 21
13 Ein Frankfurt 19 5 6 8 -6 21
14 Darmstadt 19 5 6 8 -10 21
15 Werder Bremen 19 5 4 10 -13 19
16 Stuttgart 18 5 3 10 -13 18
17 Hoffenheim 18 2 8 8 -8 14
18 Hannover 19 4 2 13 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -15 Hamburg – Stuttgart 3–2

Match report

Stuttgart Hamburg
Kevin Großkreutz 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–0
62′
🔁 M. Gregoritsch
↦ N. Müller
0–1 A. Hunt
own goal
66′
73′
🔁 A. Rudņevs
↦ G. Kačar
75′
A. Rudņevs 0–2
M. Ostrzolek
A. Kravets 🔁
↦ T. Werner
78′
79′
🟨 René Adler
84′
🟨 Aaron Hunt
A. Maxim 🔁
↦ D. Didavi
88′
88′
🔁 G. Jung
↦ P. Lasogga
1–2 A. Kravets
A. Maxim
88′
90′
🟨 Matthias Ostrzolek
T. Šunjić 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Stuttgart

22 P. Tytoń
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Schwaab D
6 G. Niedermeier D
20 C. Gentner M
26 S. Dié M
15 K. Großkreutz D
10 D. Didavi M
8 L. Rupp M
18 F. Kostić M
19 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
23 A. Kravets
44 A. Maxim
4 T. Šunjić
1 M. Langerak
5 T. Baumgartl
16 F. Klein
34 B. Tashchi

Hamburg

15 R. Adler
5 J. Djourou
2 D. Diekmeier D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
3 Cleber Reis D
7 I. Iličević M
14 A. Hunt M
40 G. Kačar M
27 N. Müller M
8 L. Holtby M
10 P. Lasogga F
Bench (7)
23 M. Gregoritsch
16 A. Rudņevs
28 G. Jung
1 J. Drobný
9 S. Schipplock
24 G. Sakai
25 K. Carolus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gunter Perl · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.