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Pro League
Genk
T S U S U
1–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 13/16 matches
Win Ø 37%
54%
19%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
62%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
54%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 7. · Kortrijk 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 16 12 1 3 +26 37
2 Anderlecht 15 10 4 1 +13 34
3 Gent 15 10 3 2 +19 33
4 Oostende 16 9 4 3 +15 31
5 Waregem 15 7 4 4 +6 25
6 Standard 18 8 1 9 -10 25
7 Genk 13 7 2 4 +4 23
8 St Truiden 20 7 2 11 -7 23
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 24 6 5 13 -11 23
10 Charleroi 15 6 4 5 +3 22
11 Mechelen 19 6 4 9 -7 22
12 Westerlo 24 5 7 12 -20 22
13 Lokeren 18 5 4 9 -5 19
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 4 5 8 -6 17
15 Beveren 17 5 2 10 -11 17
16 Kortrijk 16 3 6 7 -9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Sep -15 Kortrijk – Genk 1–0

Match report

Genk Kortrijk
1–0 C. Kabasele
L. Bailey
21′
Half-time 1–0
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
64′
66′
🔁 M. Olaitan
↦ X. Mercier
67′
🔁 A. Van Loo
↦ Ž. Tomašević
78′
🔁 H. Kage
↦ S. De Smet
Y. Buyens 🔁
↦ N. Kebano
86′
B. Kumordzi 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
4 B. Hamalainen
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
7 N. Karelis
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
11 I. de Camargo
71 Y. Buyens
8 B. Kumordzi
3 K. Tshimanga
10 J. Gorius
26 L. Köteles
18 R. Malinovskiy

Kortrijk

16 D. Keet
33 Ž. Tomašević
2 M. Chanot
20 S. Gigot
8 N. Pavlović
25 X. Mercier
26 E. Rolland
5 B. Verstraete
11 A. Marušić
7 S. De Smet
9 A. Papazoglou
Bench (7)
99 M. Olaitan
31 A. Van Loo
18 H. Kage
13 M. Sifakis
30 K. D'Haene
44 T. Kiš
12 L. Van Eenoo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.