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Championship
Referee: James Adcock
Leeds
T U S T T
2–1
Full-time
Blackburn
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leeds 22. · Blackburn 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Huddersfield 6 5 1 0 +5 16
2 Newcastle 6 4 0 2 +6 12
3 Barnsley 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Birmingham 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Norwich 6 3 2 1 +2 11
6 Fulham 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 QPR 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Brentford 6 3 1 2 +3 10
9 Bristol City 6 3 1 2 +2 10
10 Nott'm Forest 6 3 1 2 +0 10
11 Reading 6 3 1 2 -2 10
12 Wolves 6 2 3 1 +3 9
13 Brighton 6 2 2 2 +2 8
14 Burton Albion 6 2 2 2 +1 8
15 Ipswich 6 2 2 2 +0 8
16 Sheffield Weds 6 2 2 2 -2 8
17 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 +0 6
18 Cardiff 6 1 2 3 -3 5
19 Derby 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Rotherham 6 1 2 3 -9 5
21 Wigan 6 1 1 4 -1 4
22 Leeds 6 1 1 4 -5 4
23 Preston 6 1 0 5 -3 3
24 Blackburn 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leeds Blackburn
Robert Green 🟨
6′
26′
🟨 Gordon Greer
Hadi Sacko 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
K. Phillips 🔁
↦ L. Bridcutt
49′
C. Wood 🔁
↦ M. Antonsson
61′
61′
🔁 M. Emnes
↦ D. Graham
1–0 C. Wood
H. Sacko
65′
71′
🔁 L. Feeney
↦ H. Akpan
76′
🔁 D. Lenihan
↦ T. Hoban
77′
M. Emnes 1–1
C. Conway
Luke Ayling 🟨
79′
81′
🟨 Corry Evans
A. Mowatt 🔁
↦ E. OKane
83′
2–1 K. Bartley
A. Mowatt
86′
90′
🟨 Ben Marshall
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 R. Green G
18 P. Jansson D
5 K. Bartley D
2 L. Ayling D
21 C. Taylor D
19 Pablo Hernández M
26 L. Bridcutt M
14 E. O'Kane M
15 S. Dallas M
10 M. Antonsson F
24 H. Sacko M
Bench (7)
23 K. Phillips
9 C. Wood
27 A. Mowatt
6 L. Cooper
11 S. Doukara
12 M. Silvestri
31 L. Coyle

Coach: G. Monk

Blackburn

4-4-2
1 J. Steele G
3 G. Greer D
4 T. Hoban D
5 D. Williams D
32 C. Conway M
10 B. Marshall M
29 C. Evans M
21 H. Akpan M
6 J. Lowe M
12 D. Graham F
19 S. Gallagher F
Bench (7)
17 M. Emnes
7 L. Feeney
26 D. Lenihan
8 J. Byrne
11 M. Samuelsen
23 D. Guthrie
33 David Raya

Coach: O. Coyle

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

James Adcock · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.