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Championship

Referee: Stuart Attwell

Derby

T S U T T

0–1

Full-time

Ipswich

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Ipswich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

0,2

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Championship · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,0

2,3

Scored

0,2

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

24 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 0

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Derby 19. · Ipswich 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	6	5	1	0	+5	16
2	Newcastle	6	4	0	2	+6	12
3	Barnsley	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Birmingham	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Norwich	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Fulham	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	QPR	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Brentford	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Bristol City	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Nott'm Forest	6	3	1	2	+0	10
11	Reading	6	3	1	2	-2	10
12	Wolves	6	2	3	1	+3	9
13	Brighton	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Burton Albion	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	Ipswich	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Sheffield Weds	6	2	2	2	-2	8
17	Aston Villa	6	1	3	2	+0	6
18	Cardiff	6	1	2	3	-3	5
19	Derby	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Rotherham	6	1	2	3	-9	5
21	Wigan	6	1	1	4	-1	4
22	Leeds	6	1	1	4	-5	4
23	Preston	6	1	0	5	-3	3
24	Blackburn	6	0	2	4	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barnsley	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Nott'm Forest	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Huddersfield	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Ipswich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Brentford	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Reading	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Norwich	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Newcastle	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Brighton	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Burton Albion	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Sheffield Weds	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Aston Villa	3	1	2	0	+3	5
14	Wolves	3	1	2	0	+2	5
15	Rotherham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
16	Wigan	3	1	1	1	+2	4
17	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+1	4
18	QPR	3	1	1	1	+1	4
19	Fulham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Cardiff	3	1	0	2	-2	3
21	Derby	3	0	2	1	-2	2
22	Leeds	3	0	1	2	-2	1
23	Blackburn	3	0	1	2	-4	1
24	Preston	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	QPR	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Newcastle	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Wolves	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Brentford	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Preston	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Barnsley	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Derby	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Leeds	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Reading	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Burton Albion	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Cardiff	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Sheffield Weds	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Brighton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Ipswich	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-4	1
22	Blackburn	3	0	1	2	-4	1
23	Wigan	3	0	0	3	-3	0
24	Rotherham	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.