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Championship

Referee: Darren Bond

Sheffield Weds

U T T U S

3–2

Full-time

Bristol City

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Bristol City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Championship · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sheffield Weds 16. · Bristol City 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	7	5	1	1	+4	16
2	Newcastle	7	5	0	2	+12	15
3	Barnsley	7	5	0	2	+9	15
4	Norwich	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Fulham	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Brighton	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Birmingham	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Ipswich	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Brentford	6	3	1	2	+3	10
10	Bristol City	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Nott'm Forest	6	3	1	2	+0	10
12	Reading	6	3	1	2	-2	10
13	QPR	7	3	1	3	-3	10
14	Burton Albion	7	2	3	2	+1	9
15	Wolves	7	2	3	2	-1	9
16	Sheffield Weds	6	2	2	2	-2	8
17	Leeds	7	2	1	4	-4	7
18	Aston Villa	6	1	3	2	+0	6
19	Preston	7	2	0	5	+0	6
20	Derby	7	1	2	4	-5	5
21	Cardiff	7	1	2	4	-6	5
22	Rotherham	6	1	2	3	-9	5
23	Wigan	7	1	1	5	-2	4
24	Blackburn	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Barnsley	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Brighton	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Nott'm Forest	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Huddersfield	3	3	0	0	+3	9
6	Ipswich	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Brentford	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Reading	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Newcastle	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Burton Albion	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Sheffield Weds	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Aston Villa	3	1	2	0	+3	5
14	Rotherham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Fulham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Wolves	4	1	2	1	-2	5
17	Wigan	3	1	1	1	+2	4
18	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+1	4
19	Leeds	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	QPR	4	1	1	2	-5	4
21	Preston	4	1	0	3	+0	3
22	Cardiff	3	1	0	2	-2	3
23	Derby	4	0	2	2	-3	2
24	Blackburn	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Birmingham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Fulham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Huddersfield	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Barnsley	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	QPR	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Wolves	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Ipswich	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Brentford	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Preston	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Burton Albion	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Derby	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Leeds	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Reading	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Sheffield Weds	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Brighton	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Cardiff	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-4	1
22	Blackburn	4	0	1	3	-5	1
23	Wigan	4	0	0	4	-4	0
24	Rotherham	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.