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Championship
Referee: Geoff Eltringham
Burton Albion
T S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Cardiff
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burton Albion Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
3 Shots 17
0 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jan -17 Cardiff – Burton Albion 1–0 1. Oct -16 Burton Albion – Cardiff 2–0

Match report

Burton Albion Cardiff
Kyle McFadzean 🟨
4′
Half-time 0–0
H. Akpan 🔁
↦ M. Sordell
64′
65′
🔁 N. Mendez-Laing
↦ B. Écuélé Manga
65′
🔁 L. Damour
↦ L. Tomlin
L. Varney 🔁
↦ L. Dyer
78′
80′
🔁 D. Ward
↦ J. Hoilett
87′
⚽ K. Zohorè 0–1
L. Damour
J. Sbarra 🔁
↦ J. Mousinho
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Burton Albion

4-5-1
1 S. Bywater G
3 S. Warnock M
5 K. McFadzean D
23 J. Buxton D
4 J. Mousinho D
11 L. Dyer M
7 L. Murphy M
8 M. Lund M
36 J. Irvine M
10 L. Akins F
17 M. Sordell M
Bench (7)
21 H. Akpan
16 L. Varney
26 J. Sbarra
15 T. Naylor
19 M. Palmer
24 H. Campbell
25 S. Barker

Coach: N. Clough

Cardiff

3-4-1-2
25 N. Etheridge G
2 L. Peltier D
5 B. Écuélé Manga D
14 S. Bamba D
4 S. Morrison D
3 J. Bennett D
17 A. Gunnarsson M
8 J. Ralls M
33 J. Hoilett F
7 L. Tomlin M
10 K. Zohorè F
Bench (7)
19 N. Mendez-Laing
20 L. Damour
9 D. Ward
6 J. Richards
13 A. Pilkington
15 G. Halford
28 B. Murphy

Coach: N. Warnock

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Geoff Eltringham · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.