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Ligue 1
Referee: Jerome Miguelgorry
Metz
T S S U T
1–3
Full-time
Guingamp
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
6 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Metz Guingamp
1–0 N. Roux
R. Cohade
14′
Milan Biševac 🟨
39′
39′
J. Briand 1–1
41′
🟨 Lebogang Phiri
45′
🟨 Yannis Salibur
Half-time 1–1
54′
🔁 L. Blas
↦ Abdoul Camara
I. Niane 🔁
↦ G. Hein
59′
F. Mollet 🔁
↦ N. Roux
70′
70′
L. Blas 1–2
Pedro Rebocho
72′
🔁 M. Diallo
↦ M. Coco
H. Diallo 🔁
↦ F. Diagne
76′
84′
M. Diallo 1–3
L. Blas
88′
🔁 M. Thuram
↦ Y. Salibur
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Metz

4-2-3-1
1 T. Didillon G
32 B. Assou-Ekotto D
4 M. Biševac D
3 F. Diagne D
6 S. Falette D
25 I. Balliu D
24 R. Cohade M
8 Y. Jouffre M
5 G. Poblete M
9 N. Roux F
7 G. Hein M
Bench (7)
14 I. Niane
19 F. Mollet
17 H. Diallo
16 E. Kawashima
21 M. Niakhate
23 C. Philipps
28 J. Rivierez

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Guingamp

4-4-2
1 K. Johnsson G
15 J. Sorbon D
29 C. Kerbrat D
2 J. Ikoko D
3 Pedro Rebocho D
8 L. Deaux M
18 L. Phiri M
24 M. Coco M
23 J. Briand F
19 Y. Salibur M
9 Abdoul Camara M
Bench (7)
7 L. Blas
5 M. Diallo
21 M. Thuram
10 N. Benezet
16 M. Caillard
20 F. Eboa Eboa
26 T. Giresse

Coach: A. Kombouare

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jerome Miguelgorry · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.