← Match Finder
Championship
Referee: Darren Bond
Burton Albion
S T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Leeds
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Burton Albion Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Championship · 43/43 matches
Win Ø 40%
28%
51%
Points per game
1,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
40%
35%
Both score Ø 48%
53%
42%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Burton Albion 19. · Leeds 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 44 28 8 8 +35 92
2 Newcastle 43 26 7 10 +37 85
3 Reading 40 23 7 10 +7 76
4 Huddersfield 39 23 6 10 +7 75
5 Leeds 43 22 7 14 +15 73
6 Fulham 41 19 13 9 +20 70
7 Sheffield Weds 41 20 9 12 +11 69
8 Norwich 44 19 9 16 +12 66
9 Derby 43 17 12 14 +3 63
10 Preston 43 16 13 14 +5 61
11 Brentford 43 17 9 17 +10 60
12 Aston Villa 43 15 13 15 -1 58
13 Cardiff 43 16 10 17 -2 58
14 Barnsley 43 15 12 16 +1 57
15 Ipswich 43 13 16 14 -5 55
16 Wolves 42 15 9 18 -2 54
17 QPR 43 14 8 21 -10 50
18 Bristol City 43 13 9 21 -7 48
19 Burton Albion 43 12 12 19 -13 48
20 Birmingham 43 11 14 18 -21 47
21 Nott'm Forest 43 12 9 22 -12 45
22 Blackburn 43 10 14 19 -15 44
23 Wigan 43 10 10 23 -16 40
24 Rotherham 43 4 6 33 -59 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -16 Leeds – Burton Albion 2–0

Match report

Burton Albion Leeds
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 H. Sacko
↦ S. Doukara
M. Kightly 🔁
↦ L. Dyer
65′
66′
🔁 Alfonso Pedraza
↦ K. Phillips
1–0 M. Sordell
M. Kightly
75′
2–0 M. Kightly
M. Sordell
77′
D. McCrory 🔁
↦ J. Brayford
79′
80′
K. Bartley 2–1
C. Wood
L. Varney 🔁
↦ M. Sordell
85′
Michael Kightly 🟨
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Burton Albion

4-5-1
13 S. Bywater G
6 B. Turner D
5 K. McFadzean D
3 J. Brayford D
4 J. Mousinho D
2 T. Flanagan D
11 L. Dyer M
24 L. Christensen M
36 J. Irvine M
10 L. Akins F
9 M. Sordell M
Bench (7)
28 M. Kightly
14 D. McCrory
19 L. Varney
15 T. Naylor
27 H. Campbell
16 M. Palmer
8 C. O'Grady

Coach: N. Clough

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 R. Green G
18 P. Jansson D
5 K. Bartley D
2 L. Ayling D
21 C. Taylor D
19 Pablo Hernández M
7 K. Roofe F
23 K. Phillips M
25 Ronaldo Vieira M
9 C. Wood F
11 S. Doukara F
Bench (7)
24 H. Sacko
29 Alfonso Pedraza
28 G. Berardi
14 E. O'Kane
15 S. Dallas
10 M. Antonsson
30 B. Peacock-Farrell

Coach: G. Monk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Darren Bond · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.