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Championship

Referee: Andy Madley

Aston Villa

T T S T U

1–1

Full-time

Hull

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Hull

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,5

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Preston	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sunderland	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
5	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Sheffield Weds	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Reading	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.