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Championship
Referee: James Linington
Millwall
T U
3–4
Full-time
Ipswich
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

54% Possession 46%
23 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
11 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 16. · Ipswich 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cardiff 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Wolves 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Nott'm Forest 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Ipswich 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Sunderland 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 QPR 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Preston 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Sheffield United 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Fulham 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Bolton 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Millwall 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Sheffield Weds 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Norwich 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Derby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Reading 2 0 1 1 -2 1
21 Aston Villa 2 0 1 1 -3 1
22 Brentford 2 0 0 2 -2 0
23 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 -3 0
24 Burton Albion 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Ipswich
1–0 J. Wallace ⚽
1′
4′
⚽ J. Garner 1–1
D. Iorfa
24′
🟨 Grant Ward
James Meredith 🟨
31′
34′
⚽ M. Waghorn 1–2
G. Ward
2–2 A. O'Brien ⚽
36′
Half-time 2–3
48′
⚽ M. Waghorn 2–3
D. McGoldrick
69′
🟨 Joe Garner
S. Ferguson 🔁
↦ J. Meredith
74′
T. Elliott 🔁
↦ S. Morison
75′
F. Onyedinma 🔁
↦ A. OBrien
76′
76′
🔁 D. Rowe
↦ M. Waghorn
79′
🟨 Luke Chambers
Tom Elliott 🟨
80′
3–3 T. Elliott ⚽
80′
88′
⚽ J. Spence 3–4
G. Ward
90′
🟨 Dominic Iorfa
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Millwall

4-4-2
1 J. Archer G
3 J. Meredith D
17 B. Webster D
4 S. Hutchinson D
2 C. McLaughlin D
6 S. Williams M
14 J. Wallace M
23 G. Saville M
20 S. Morison F
9 L. Gregory F
22 A. O'Brien M
Bench (7)
11 S. Ferguson
19 T. Elliott
10 F. Onyedinma
13 T. King
35 J. Cooper
8 B. Thompson
5 T. Craig

Coach: N. Harris

Ipswich

4-4-2
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
12 J. Spence D
3 J. Knudsen D
2 D. Iorfa D
8 C. Skuse M
18 G. Ward M
10 D. McGoldrick F
9 M. Waghorn F
20 F. Sears F
14 J. Garner F
Bench (7)
17 D. Rowe
22 T. Nydam
35 B. Morris
30 M. Kenlock
39 L. Woolfenden
37 A. McDonnell
24 M. Crowe

Coach: M. McCarthy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

James Linington · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.