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Championship

Referee: Steve Martin

Birmingham

T T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Sheffield Weds

U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Sheffield Weds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

This season — Championship · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

11%

33%

Points per game

0,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 61%

44%

78%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 10

4 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 11

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Birmingham 23. · Sheffield Weds 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	10	7	2	1	+8	23
2	Leeds	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Wolves	9	6	2	1	+6	20
4	Preston	10	5	4	1	+7	19
5	Ipswich	9	6	0	3	+6	18
6	Sheffield United	9	6	0	3	+4	18
7	Bristol City	10	4	5	1	+7	17
8	Aston Villa	9	4	3	2	+6	15
9	Norwich	10	4	3	3	-3	15
10	Middlesbrough	9	4	2	3	+4	14
11	Fulham	10	3	5	2	+3	14
12	Millwall	10	3	4	3	+3	13
13	Sheffield Weds	9	3	4	2	+1	13
14	QPR	10	3	4	3	+0	13
15	Derby	9	3	3	3	+0	12
16	Nott'm Forest	10	4	0	6	-5	12
17	Hull	10	2	3	5	-2	9
18	Reading	9	2	3	4	-2	9
19	Burton Albion	10	2	3	5	-13	9
20	Brentford	10	1	5	4	-2	8
21	Barnsley	9	2	2	5	-4	8
22	Sunderland	10	1	3	6	-9	6
23	Birmingham	9	1	2	6	-8	5
24	Bolton	10	0	2	8	-17	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Ipswich	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Leeds	5	3	2	0	+8	11
4	Bristol City	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Preston	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	QPR	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Millwall	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Middlesbrough	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Wolves	5	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Sheffield United	4	3	0	1	+3	9
11	Aston Villa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
12	Sheffield Weds	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Norwich	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Hull	5	2	1	2	+5	7
15	Derby	4	2	1	1	+4	7
16	Barnsley	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Burton Albion	5	2	1	2	-3	7
18	Fulham	5	1	3	1	+0	6
19	Nott'm Forest	5	2	0	3	-3	6
20	Reading	4	1	2	1	+0	5
21	Brentford	5	0	4	1	-1	4
22	Birmingham	4	1	1	2	-3	4
23	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-5	1
24	Bolton	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolves	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Cardiff	5	3	1	1	+0	10
3	Leeds	5	3	0	2	+2	9
4	Sheffield United	5	3	0	2	+1	9
5	Fulham	5	2	2	1	+3	8
6	Preston	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Aston Villa	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Norwich	5	2	1	2	-4	7
9	Ipswich	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Bristol City	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Nott'm Forest	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Sheffield Weds	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Sunderland	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Derby	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Middlesbrough	4	1	1	2	+1	4
16	Brentford	5	1	1	3	-1	4
17	Reading	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Millwall	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	QPR	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Hull	5	0	2	3	-7	2
21	Bolton	5	0	2	3	-8	2
22	Burton Albion	5	0	2	3	-10	2
23	Barnsley	4	0	1	3	-4	1
24	Birmingham	5	0	1	4	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.