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Championship

Referee: Andy Madley

Sheffield Weds

T U U S U

3–1

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

This season — Championship · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

1,6

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

17 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

5 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sheffield Weds 17. · Nott'm Forest 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Leeds	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Wolves	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Ipswich	6	4	0	2	+2	12
5	Sheffield United	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Middlesbrough	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Derby	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	QPR	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Bristol City	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Preston	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Nott'm Forest	5	3	0	2	+0	9
12	Fulham	6	1	4	1	+1	7
13	Hull	6	2	1	3	+0	7
14	Barnsley	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Reading	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Norwich	6	2	1	3	-5	7
17	Sheffield Weds	5	1	3	1	+0	6
18	Aston Villa	6	1	3	2	-2	6
19	Millwall	6	1	2	3	+1	5
20	Sunderland	6	1	2	3	-4	5
21	Birmingham	6	1	1	4	-4	4
22	Burton Albion	6	1	1	4	-10	4
23	Brentford	6	0	3	3	-4	3
24	Bolton	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	QPR	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Sheffield United	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Middlesbrough	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Preston	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Hull	3	2	0	1	+6	6
7	Derby	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Barnsley	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Norwich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Wolves	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Nott'm Forest	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Leeds	3	1	2	0	+5	5
14	Aston Villa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
15	Bristol City	3	1	2	0	+2	5
16	Millwall	3	1	1	1	+3	4
17	Reading	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Burton Albion	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	-1	4
20	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
21	Brentford	3	0	2	1	-1	2
22	Fulham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
23	Sunderland	3	0	1	2	-3	1
24	Bolton	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Wolves	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Cardiff	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Fulham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Sheffield Weds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sunderland	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Derby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Middlesbrough	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Reading	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Sheffield United	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Preston	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Bolton	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Millwall	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	QPR	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Barnsley	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Brentford	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Norwich	3	0	1	2	-6	1
22	Hull	3	0	1	2	-6	1
23	Birmingham	3	0	0	3	-3	0
24	Burton Albion	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.