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Championship

Referee: Scott Duncan

Birmingham

U T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Sheffield Weds

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Sheffield Weds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Championship · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,7

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

1,9

2,4

Scored

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Birmingham 9. · Sheffield Weds 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	8	6	1	1	+5	19
2	Norwich	8	5	2	1	+4	17
3	Newcastle	8	5	0	3	+10	15
4	Barnsley	8	5	0	3	+8	15
5	Brentford	8	4	2	2	+8	14
6	Brighton	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Reading	8	4	2	2	-1	14
8	Fulham	8	3	4	1	+2	13
9	Birmingham	7	3	3	1	+3	12
10	Wolves	8	3	3	2	+1	12
11	Ipswich	8	3	3	2	+1	12
12	Bristol City	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Nott'm Forest	8	3	2	3	-1	11
14	Sheffield Weds	7	3	2	2	-1	11
15	Leeds	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	QPR	8	3	1	4	-4	10
17	Burton Albion	8	2	3	3	+0	9
18	Aston Villa	8	1	5	2	+0	8
19	Preston	8	2	0	6	-5	6
20	Derby	8	1	3	4	-5	6
21	Rotherham	8	1	3	4	-11	6
22	Wigan	8	1	2	5	-2	5
23	Blackburn	8	1	2	5	-7	5
24	Cardiff	8	1	2	5	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huddersfield	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Brentford	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Norwich	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Barnsley	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Brighton	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Nott'm Forest	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Sheffield Weds	4	3	0	1	+1	9
8	Ipswich	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Reading	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Aston Villa	4	1	3	0	+3	6
12	Newcastle	4	2	0	2	+2	6
13	Rotherham	4	1	3	0	+1	6
14	Burton Albion	4	2	0	2	+1	6
15	Wigan	4	1	2	1	+2	5
16	Fulham	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Wolves	4	1	2	1	-2	5
18	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+1	4
19	Leeds	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Blackburn	4	1	1	2	-2	4
21	QPR	4	1	1	2	-5	4
22	Preston	4	1	0	3	+0	3
23	Cardiff	4	1	0	3	-4	3
24	Derby	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Newcastle	4	3	0	1	+8	9
2	Birmingham	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Fulham	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Wolves	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Norwich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Huddersfield	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Barnsley	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	QPR	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Leeds	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Reading	4	2	0	2	-3	6
11	Brighton	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Brentford	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Bristol City	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Ipswich	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Derby	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Burton Albion	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Preston	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Sheffield Weds	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Aston Villa	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Cardiff	4	0	2	2	-4	2
21	Nott'm Forest	4	0	2	2	-4	2
22	Blackburn	4	0	1	3	-5	1
23	Wigan	4	0	0	4	-4	0
24	Rotherham	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.