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Championship
Referee: Robert Jones
Preston
U U S S U
1–1
Full-time
Wolves
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Championship · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 55%
39%
71%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
48%
Both score Ø 46%
52%
39%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
7 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 7. · Wolves 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 31 22 5 4 +33 71
2 Cardiff 31 17 7 7 +20 58
3 Derby 31 16 9 6 +22 57
4 Aston Villa 28 15 7 6 +19 52
5 Bristol City 31 14 10 7 +9 52
6 Fulham 29 14 9 6 +17 51
7 Preston 31 12 13 6 +8 49
8 Sheffield United 31 15 4 12 +7 49
9 Middlesbrough 29 14 5 10 +12 47
10 Brentford 31 11 11 9 +3 44
11 Leeds 31 13 5 13 +3 44
12 Ipswich 31 13 5 13 +2 44
13 Norwich 31 12 8 11 -3 44
14 Millwall 31 9 12 10 +2 39
15 Sheffield Weds 32 8 13 11 -4 37
16 QPR 31 9 9 13 -11 36
17 Nott'm Forest 31 11 2 18 -15 35
18 Reading 31 8 8 15 -7 32
19 Bolton 31 7 9 15 -21 30
20 Birmingham 31 8 6 17 -21 30
21 Hull 31 6 11 14 -5 29
22 Barnsley 31 6 10 15 -15 28
23 Sunderland 31 5 11 15 -21 26
24 Burton Albion 31 6 7 18 -34 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Wolves
Darnell Fisher 🟨
31′
John Welsh 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Browne
C. Robinson
52′
Tom Barkhuizen 🟨
59′
John Welsh 🟨
59′
John Welsh 🟥
59′
61′
Hélder Costa 1–1
Ivan Cavaleiro
62′
🔁 B. Afobe
↦ A. NDiaye
D. Horgan 🔁
↦ C. Robinson
70′
81′
🔁 R. Saïss
↦ Hélder Costa
J. Harrop 🔁
↦ D. Johnson
88′
L. Moult 🔁
↦ T. Barkhuizen
88′
89′
🔁 Léo Bonatini
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Preston

4-2-3-1
1 D. Rudd G
23 P. Huntington D
14 D. Fisher D
20 B. Davies D
19 J. Welsh M
39 B. Bodin M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
11 D. Johnson M
8 A. Browne M
32 J. Earl D
37 C. Robinson M
Bench (7)
7 D. Horgan
10 J. Harrop
21 L. Moult
15 C. Woods
17 T. Spurr
22 C. Maxwell
35 A. O'Reilly

Coach: A. Neil

Wolves

3-4-3
21 J. Ruddy
3 B. Douglas M
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
4 A. N'Diaye M
17 Hélder Costa F
16 C. Coady D
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
7 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (7)
19 B. Afobe
27 R. Saïss
33 Léo Bonatini
6 D. Batth
24 M. Gibbs-White
25 Roderick
31 W. Norris

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.