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Championship
Referee: Roger East
Reading
S T T S S
0–2
Full-time
Wolves
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,7
This season — Championship · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 51%
33%
69%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 18. · Wolves 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 17 12 0 5 +12 36
2 Wolves 16 11 2 3 +14 35
3 Cardiff 16 9 4 3 +9 31
4 Bristol City 16 8 6 2 +10 30
5 Middlesbrough 15 7 4 4 +8 25
6 Derby 15 7 4 4 +4 25
7 Ipswich 15 8 0 7 +4 24
8 Nott'm Forest 16 8 0 8 -1 24
9 Leeds 16 7 2 7 +5 23
10 Sheffield Weds 16 6 5 5 +2 23
11 Aston Villa 14 6 4 4 +6 22
12 Brentford 16 5 7 4 +4 22
13 Preston 17 5 7 5 +0 22
14 Norwich 16 6 4 6 -5 22
15 QPR 16 5 6 5 -3 21
16 Barnsley 15 5 4 6 +1 19
17 Fulham 15 4 7 4 +0 19
18 Reading 15 5 3 7 -1 18
19 Millwall 16 4 5 7 +0 17
20 Hull 16 4 4 8 -2 16
21 Burton Albion 17 3 4 10 -23 13
22 Bolton 17 2 6 9 -16 12
23 Birmingham 16 3 3 10 -17 12
24 Sunderland 16 1 7 8 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Wolves
16′
Ivan Cavaleiro 0–1
Diogo Jota
Leandro Bacuna 🟨
20′
D. Edwards 🔁
↦ Tiago Ilori
31′
Half-time 0–1
Joey Van den Berg 🟨
56′
59′
🟨 Matt Doherty
64′
🟨 Ryan Bennett
S. Aluko 🔁
↦ Y. Kermorgant
66′
72′
🔁 B. Enobakhare
↦ Léo Bonatini
79′
🔁 A. N'Diaye
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
J. Böðvarsson 🔁
↦ R. Beerens
81′
85′
🔁 Hélder Costa
↦ Diogo Jota
88′
M. Doherty 0–2
Hélder Costa
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Reading

3-4-3
1 V. Mannone G
5 P. McShane D
2 C. Gunter D
6 L. Moore D
20 Tiago Ilori D
7 R. Beerens F
4 J. van den Berg
19 L. Bacuna M
10 J. Swift M
18 Y. Kermorgant F
17 M. Barrow M
Bench (7)
16 D. Edwards
14 S. Aluko
23 J. Böðvarsson
22 P. Clement
24 T. Blackett
31 A. Jaakkola
50 O. Richards

Coach: J. Stam

Wolves

3-4-3
21 J. Ruddy
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
29 Rúben Vinagre M
16 C. Coady D
27 R. Saïss M
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
33 Léo Bonatini F
7 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (7)
26 B. Enobakhare
4 A. N'Diaye
17 Hélder Costa
6 D. Batth
19 J. Price
25 Roderick
31 W. Norris

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Roger East · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.