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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Aalesund
U T T T T
3–2
Full-time
Start
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
1,0
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
3,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 70%
90%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,4
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
3,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,9
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%
25 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Start 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 10 10 0 0 +27 30
2 Molde 10 8 1 1 +19 25
3 Valerenga 10 5 4 1 +3 19
4 Odd 10 5 1 4 +3 16
5 Stabaek 10 4 4 2 +1 16
6 Rosenborg 10 4 3 3 +5 15
7 Brann 10 4 3 3 +0 15
8 Kristiansund 10 2 6 2 +4 12
9 Stromsgodset 10 3 3 4 -8 12
10 Viking 10 3 2 5 -5 11
11 Haugesund 10 3 2 5 -9 11
12 Sarpsborg 08 10 3 1 6 -2 10
13 Sandefjord 10 3 1 6 -8 10
14 Mjondalen 10 2 2 6 -3 8
15 Start 10 0 6 4 -8 6
16 Aalesund 10 0 3 7 -19 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Start
14′
🟨 Eirik Schulze
16′
M. Bringaker 0–1
E. Børufsen
1–1 H. Fridjonsson
N. Castro
17′
19′
E. Schulze 1–2
D. Klinkenberg 🔁
↦ O. Lie
30′
Niklas Castro 🟨
33′
40′
🟨 Eirik Wichne
Half-time 1–2
I. Määttä 🔁
↦ J. Hatlehol
46′
46′
🔁 H. Robstad
↦ K. Tønnessen
50′
🔁 K. Skaanes
↦ M. Bringaker
2–2 H. Fridjonsson
61′
I. Uzochukwu 🔁
↦ P. Larsen
62′
Parfait Bizoza 🟨
65′
75′
🔁 E. Segberg
↦ E. Børufsen
78′
🟨 Erlend Segberg
3–2 H. Fridjonsson
N. Castro
81′
82′
🔁 A. Akinyemi
↦ S. Skålevik
S. Sæthre 🔁
↦ S. Sno
88′
Isak Dybvik Maatta 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

3-5-2
25 G. Kongshavn G
5 O. Lie D
4 J. Grønner D
3 D. Grétarsson D
2 S. Sno M
16 J. Hatlehol M
20 P. Bizoza M
19 P. Larsen M
11 S. Nordli M
10 H. Fridjonsson F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (8)
6 D. Klinkenberg
38 I. Määttä
30 I. Uzochukwu
15 S. Sæthre
36 V. Fiskerstrand
32 K. Ødven
1 A. Lie
41 M. Karlsbakk

Coach: L. Bohinen

Start

4-3-3
12 A. Wichne G
3 V. Bergan D
27 E. Wichne D
22 K. Tønnessen D
2 J. Daland D
14 E. Børufsen M
11 E. Schulze M
18 I. Twum M
10 S. Skålevik F
7 K. Kabran F
20 M. Bringaker F
Bench (8)
15 H. Robstad
19 K. Skaanes
23 E. Segberg
17 A. Akinyemi
8 E. Marković
50 F. Hansen
5 A. Hadzic
16 M. Ugland

Coach: J. Hardarson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.