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Bundesliga

Referee: Guido Winkmann

Hoffenheim

T S S U S

2–1

Full-time

Hertha

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

48%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

45%

41%

Both score Ø 52%

62%

41%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 14. · Hertha 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	24	3	2	+55	75
2	Dortmund	29	21	5	3	+39	68
3	Hertha	29	14	7	8	+5	49
4	Leverkusen	29	14	6	9	+11	48
5	M'gladbach	30	14	3	13	+12	45
6	Mainz	29	13	6	10	+4	45
7	Schalke 04	29	13	6	10	+1	45
8	Wolfsburg	29	10	9	10	+2	39
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	29	10	9	10	-4	39
10	Hamburg	29	9	7	13	-5	34
11	FC Koln	29	8	10	11	-8	34
12	Stuttgart	29	9	6	14	-13	33
13	Darmstadt	29	7	11	11	-12	32
14	Hoffenheim	29	7	10	12	-11	31
15	Augsburg	29	7	9	13	-11	30
16	Werder Bremen	29	7	7	15	-20	28
17	Ein Frankfurt	29	6	9	14	-17	27
18	Hannover	30	6	3	21	-28	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	13	0	1	+38	39
2	Dortmund	14	12	2	0	+28	38
3	M'gladbach	15	11	1	3	+21	34
4	Hertha	15	9	5	1	+12	32
5	Wolfsburg	15	8	5	2	+15	29
6	Schalke 04	15	8	4	3	+5	28
7	Mainz	14	8	2	4	+6	26
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	7	4	4	+5	25
9	Leverkusen	14	7	3	4	+9	24
10	Stuttgart	15	6	1	8	-5	19
11	Hoffenheim	14	4	6	4	-2	18
12	Ein Frankfurt	15	4	6	5	-4	18
13	Hamburg	15	4	4	7	-3	16
14	FC Koln	15	4	4	7	-5	16
15	Augsburg	14	2	5	7	-8	11
16	Werder Bremen	14	2	5	7	-9	11
17	Darmstadt	14	1	6	7	-13	9
18	Hannover	15	3	0	12	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	3	1	+17	36
2	Dortmund	15	9	3	3	+11	30
3	Leverkusen	15	7	3	5	+2	24
4	Darmstadt	15	6	5	4	+1	23
5	Mainz	15	5	4	6	-2	19
6	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-3	19
7	Hamburg	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	FC Koln	14	4	6	4	-3	18
9	Schalke 04	14	5	2	7	-4	17
10	Hertha	14	5	2	7	-7	17
11	Werder Bremen	15	5	2	8	-11	17
12	Stuttgart	14	3	5	6	-8	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	3	5	6	-9	14
14	Hoffenheim	15	3	4	8	-9	13
15	Hannover	15	3	3	9	-14	12
16	M'gladbach	15	3	2	10	-9	11
17	Wolfsburg	14	2	4	8	-13	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	14	2	3	9	-13	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.