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Championship
Referee: Darren Handley
Brentford
T T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Bristol City
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brentford Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Championship · 40/41 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
65%
49%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
49%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
18 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 4
2 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brentford 13. · Bristol City 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 42 26 7 9 +32 85
2 Burnley 41 22 14 5 +31 80
3 Brighton 40 22 13 5 +24 79
4 Hull 38 21 9 8 +34 72
5 Sheffield Weds 38 18 11 9 +19 65
6 Derby 39 17 13 9 +16 64
7 Cardiff 41 16 15 10 +8 63
8 Ipswich 41 16 12 13 +0 60
9 Birmingham 41 16 11 14 +5 59
10 Preston 41 14 14 13 +0 56
11 QPR 41 13 16 12 +4 55
12 Wolves 42 13 14 15 -5 53
13 Brentford 40 15 7 18 -4 52
14 Reading 41 13 12 16 -2 51
15 Leeds 41 12 15 14 -9 51
16 Blackburn 41 11 14 16 -1 47
17 Fulham 42 11 14 17 -9 47
18 Bristol City 41 12 11 18 -19 47
19 Huddersfield 41 12 10 19 -5 46
20 Nott'm Forest 41 11 13 17 -7 46
21 Rotherham 41 13 7 21 -13 46
22 Milton Keynes Dons 41 9 10 22 -25 37
23 Charlton 41 8 12 21 -35 36
24 Bolton 42 4 14 24 -39 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brentford Bristol City
18′
🟨 Lee Tomlin
25′
🔁 B. Reid
↦ S. Golbourne
32′
🟨 Marlon Pack
45′
L. Tomlin 0–1
K. Smith
Half-time 0–1
60′
🔁 P. Odemwingie
↦ L. Tomlin
69′
🟨 Joe Bryan
S. Hogan 🔁
↦ S. Saunders
72′
K. Kerschbaumer 🔁
↦ R. Woods
72′
81′
🔁 L. Ayling
↦ A. Matthews
J. Clarke 🔁
↦ Sergi Canós
84′
Alan McCormack 🟨
90′
1–1 S. Hogan
J. Bidwell
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brentford

27 D. Button G
6 H. Dean D
3 J. Bidwell D
2 M. Colin D
29 Y. Barbet D
28 N. Yennaris M
12 A. McCormack M
7 S. Saunders M
15 R. Woods M
47 Sergi Canós M
21 L. Vibe F
Bench (7)
9 S. Hogan
17 K. Kerschbaumer
36 J. Clarke
8 M. Djuricin
16 J. Bonham
22 J. O'Connell
24 A. Gogia

Bristol City

12 R. O'Donnell G
13 S. Golbourne D
26 A. Matthews D
4 A. Flint D
17 N. Baker D
7 K. Smith M
21 M. Pack M
23 J. Bryan D
9 L. Tomlin M
22 J. Kodjia F
15 L. Freeman M
Bench (7)
14 B. Reid
27 P. Odemwingie
5 L. Ayling
10 K. Agard
11 S. Wagstaff
16 A. Pearce
24 M. O’Leary

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.