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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva
Arouca
S S T S U
0–0
Full-time
Rio Ave
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Rio Ave
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 42%
38%
45%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arouca 5. · Rio Ave 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 29 24 1 4 +58 73
2 Sp Lisbon 29 22 5 2 +44 71
3 Porto 29 19 4 6 +28 61
4 Sp Braga 29 14 9 6 +20 51
5 Arouca 29 11 12 6 +5 45
6 Rio Ave 29 13 6 10 +2 45
7 Pacos Ferreira 29 10 9 10 +0 39
8 Estoril 29 11 6 12 -2 39
9 Nacional 29 10 7 12 -5 37
10 Belenenses 29 9 9 11 -20 36
11 Guimaraes 29 8 11 10 -7 35
12 Maritimo 29 9 5 15 -16 32
13 Vitoria Setubal 29 6 11 12 -13 29
14 Moreirense 29 7 8 14 -14 29
15 Boavista 29 6 8 15 -14 26
16 U. Madeira 29 6 8 15 -20 26
17 Academica 29 5 8 16 -23 23
18 Tondela 29 5 5 19 -23 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Dec -15 Rio Ave – Arouca 3–1

Match report

Arouca Rio Ave
12′
🟨 Roderick Miranda
Adilson Goiano 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Marcelo
Gegé 🟨
52′
58′
🟨 João Novais
Artur Moreira 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 J. Kayembe
↦ João Novais
Ivo Rodrigues 🔁
↦ Nuno Valente
73′
73′
🔁 Hélder Postiga
↦ Guedes
80′
🟨 Tarantini
Zequinha 🔁
↦ Artur Moreira
84′
85′
🔁 Yazalde
↦ Héldon
Walter González 🔁
↦ Maurides
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Arouca

1 Rafael Bracalli G
66 Nuno Coelho M
6 Lucas Lima D
14 Gêgê D
33 Jubal D
3 Hugo Basto D
7 Artur Moreira M
22 Adilson Goiano M
50 Nuno Valente M
12 Mateus M
99 Maurides F
Bench (7)
11 Ivo Rodrigues
87 Zequinha
95 Walter González
4 J. Velázquez
10 Pintassilgo
24 E. Albín
85 Rui Sacramento

Rio Ave

1 Cássio
16 Edimar Fraga D
12 Lionn D
46 Marcelo D
25 Roderick D
8 Tarantini M
20 Pedro Moreira M
27 João Novais M
7 Guedes F
24 Héldon M
10 Kuca M
Bench (7)
77 J. Kayembe
9 Hélder Postiga
88 Yazalde
14 Vilas Boas
23 F. Krovinović
26 Pedrinho
71 Rui Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Mota da Silva · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.