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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
Werder Bremen
U T T S T
6–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 28%
26%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 70%
74%
65%
Average goals
3,4
3,5
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

39% Possession 61%
16 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 17. · Stuttgart 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 26 4 2 +60 82
2 Dortmund 32 24 5 3 +49 77
3 Leverkusen 32 17 6 9 +16 57
4 M'gladbach 32 15 4 13 +14 49
5 Hertha 32 14 7 11 +1 49
6 Schalke 04 32 14 6 12 -1 48
7 Mainz 32 13 7 12 +2 46
8 FC Koln 32 10 11 11 -4 41
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 32 10 10 12 -7 40
10 Wolfsburg 32 10 9 13 -5 39
11 Hamburg 32 10 8 14 -7 38
12 Augsburg 32 9 10 13 -8 37
13 Hoffenheim 32 9 10 13 -11 37
14 Darmstadt 32 8 11 13 -14 35
15 Stuttgart 31 9 6 16 -17 33
16 Ein Frankfurt 32 8 9 15 -18 33
17 Werder Bremen 31 8 7 16 -20 31
18 Hannover 32 6 4 22 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Stuttgart
9′
🟨 Emiliano Insúa
1–0 F. Bartels
C. Pizarro
10′
26′
D. Didavi 1–1
A. Maxim
1–2 F. Barba
own goal
33′
L. Öztunali 🔁
↦ S. Yatabaré
36′
2–2 L. Öztunali
Z. Junuzović
42′
44′
🔁 T. Werner
↦ D. Didavi
Half-time 2–3
53′
F. Barba 2–3
A. Maxim
61′
🔁 M. Ristl
↦ F. Barba
3–3 C. Pizarro
Z. Junuzović
64′
4–3 F. Bartels
L. Öztunali
80′
81′
🔁 A. Kravets
↦ L. Rupp
A. Ujah 🔁
↦ C. Pizarro
83′
5–3 A. Ujah
86′
Gálvez 🔁
↦ Z. Junuzović
88′
Theodor Gebre Selassie 🟨
90′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

42 F. Wiedwald G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
3 P. Djilobodji D
2 S. García D
7 J. Vestergaard D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
5 S. Yatabaré M
14 C. Pizarro F
27 F. Grillitsch M
Bench (7)
11 L. Öztunali
21 A. Ujah
4 Gálvez
17 Ö. Yildirim
37 J. Sternberg
39 L. Fröde
18 G. Tremmel

Stuttgart

22 P. Tytoń
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Schwaab D
6 G. Niedermeier D
37 M. Zimmermann M
24 F. Barba D
10 D. Didavi M
8 L. Rupp M
44 A. Maxim M
7 M. Harnik F
18 F. Kostić M
Bench (7)
19 T. Werner
27 M. Ristl
23 A. Kravets
16 F. Klein
4 T. Šunjić
1 M. Langerak
34 B. Tashchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.