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Bundesliga
Referee: Florian Meyer
Stuttgart
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
2,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
0,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
79%
71%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 18. · Werder Bremen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 15 13 1 1 +35 40
2 Dortmund 15 11 2 2 +22 35
3 M'gladbach 15 8 2 5 +8 26
4 Hertha 15 8 2 5 +2 26
5 Wolfsburg 15 7 4 4 +7 25
6 Schalke 04 15 7 3 5 +0 24
7 Mainz 15 7 2 6 +2 23
8 Leverkusen 15 6 3 6 -1 21
9 Hamburg 15 6 3 6 -3 21
10 FC Koln 15 5 5 5 -4 20
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 15 5 5 5 -4 20
12 Darmstadt 14 3 6 5 -5 15
13 Ein Frankfurt 14 3 5 6 -4 14
14 Hannover 15 4 2 9 -9 14
15 Augsburg 15 3 4 8 -7 13
16 Werder Bremen 14 4 1 9 -14 13
17 Hoffenheim 15 1 7 7 -8 10
18 Stuttgart 14 3 1 10 -17 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Werder Bremen
Serey Dié 🟨
25′
30′
🟨 Philipp Bargfrede
1–0 L. Rupp
F. Kostić
33′
Half-time 1–0
Filip Kostić 🟨
49′
51′
🔁 F. Grillitsch
↦ Z. Junuzović
53′
🟨 Clemens Fritz
67′
🔁 C. Pizarro
↦ F. Bartels
71′
A. Ujah 1–1
A. Maxim 🔁
↦ D. Didavi
80′
91′
🔁 F. Kroos
↦ L. Öztunali
G. Niedermeier 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

22 P. Tytoń
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Schwaab D
4 T. Šunjić D
5 T. Baumgartl D
20 C. Gentner M
26 S. Dié M
10 D. Didavi M
8 L. Rupp M
18 F. Kostić M
19 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
44 A. Maxim
6 G. Niedermeier
9 R. Kruse
11 C. Gruezo
21 A. Hloušek
32 B. Uphoff
34 B. Tashchi

Werder Bremen

42 F. Wiedwald G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
2 S. García D
7 J. Vestergaard D
4 Gálvez D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
44 P. Bargfrede M
11 L. Öztunali F
21 A. Ujah F
Bench (7)
27 F. Grillitsch
14 C. Pizarro
18 F. Kroos
5 A. Lukimya
30 M. Zetterer
35 M. Eggestein
37 J. Sternberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Florian Meyer · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
2,4 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.