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Serie A
Referee: Andrea Gervasoni
Genoa
S S T S T
2–3
Full-time
Roma
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 46%
34%
57%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
37%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
37%
71%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
14 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 9
1 Offside 7
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 11. · Roma 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 36 28 4 4 +51 88
2 Napoli 35 22 7 6 +42 73
3 Roma 35 20 11 4 +36 71
4 Inter 36 19 7 10 +13 64
5 Fiorentina 36 17 9 10 +16 60
6 Sassuolo 36 14 13 9 +6 55
7 Milan 36 14 12 10 +7 54
8 Lazio 36 14 9 13 +0 51
9 Chievo 36 13 10 13 +1 49
10 Torino 36 12 9 15 -1 45
11 Genoa 35 12 7 16 -4 43
12 Empoli 36 11 10 15 -9 43
13 Atalanta 35 10 11 14 -6 41
14 Bologna 36 11 8 17 -11 41
15 Sampdoria 36 10 10 16 -5 40
16 Udinese 36 10 8 18 -24 38
17 Carpi 36 8 11 17 -19 35
18 Palermo 36 9 8 19 -28 35
19 Frosinone 36 8 7 21 -36 31
20 Verona 36 4 13 19 -29 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Dec -15 Roma – Genoa 2–0

Match report

Genoa Roma
6′
Mohamed Salah 0–1
D. Perotti
1–1 P. Tachtsidis
D. Laxalt
13′
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 F. Totti
↦ D. Perotti
G. Marchese 🔁
↦ P. Tachtsidis
61′
2–1 L. Pavoletti
T. Rincón
65′
66′
🔁 E. Džeko
↦ Maicon
Capel 🔁
↦ R. Fiamozzi
71′
Tomás Rincón 🟨
72′
72′
🟨 Francesco Totti
77′
F. Totti 2–2
D. De Rossi
Diego Laxalt 🟨
79′
G. Pandev 🔁
↦ Suso
82′
83′
🟨 Daniele De Rossi
87′
S. El Shaarawy 2–3
E. Džeko
88′
🔁 E. Zukanović
↦ Mohamed Salah
Giovanni Marchese 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Kevin Strootman
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Genoa

23 E. Lamanna G
8 N. Burdisso D
24 E. Muñoz D
5 A. Izzo D
29 R. Fiamozzi D
31 B. Džemaili M
88 T. Rincón M
77 P. Tachtsidis M
93 D. Laxalt M
19 L. Pavoletti F
17 Suso F
Bench (12)
15 G. Marchese
16 Capel
21 G. Pandev
3 C. Ansaldi
4 S. De Maio
18 J. Ntcham
22 D. Lazović
30 L. Rigoni
32 A. Donnarumma
34 Gabriel Silva
39 D. Sommariva
42 T. Matavž

Roma

25 W. Szczęsny G
13 Maicon D
44 K. Manolas D
3 L. Digne D
2 A. Rüdiger D
16 D. De Rossi M
4 R. Nainggolan M
6 K. Strootman M
8 D. Perotti F
11 Mohamed Salah F
22 S. El Shaarawy F
Bench (10)
10 F. Totti
9 E. Džeko
87 E. Zukanović
5 Leandro Castan
20 S. Kéita
21 W. Vainqueur
23 N. Gyömbér
26 M. De Sanctis
33 Emerson
97 S. Umar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andrea Gervasoni · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
1,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.