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Bundesliga
Referee: Benjamin Brand
Hamburg
S T T S U
0–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 31%
31%
31%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
56%
47%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 11. · Wolfsburg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 26 4 2 +60 82
2 Dortmund 32 24 5 3 +49 77
3 Leverkusen 32 17 6 9 +16 57
4 M'gladbach 32 15 4 13 +14 49
5 Hertha 32 14 7 11 +1 49
6 Schalke 04 32 14 6 12 -1 48
7 Mainz 32 13 7 12 +2 46
8 FC Koln 32 10 11 11 -4 41
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 32 10 10 12 -7 40
10 Wolfsburg 32 10 9 13 -5 39
11 Hamburg 32 10 8 14 -7 38
12 Augsburg 32 9 10 13 -8 37
13 Hoffenheim 32 9 10 13 -11 37
14 Darmstadt 32 8 11 13 -14 35
15 Werder Bremen 32 9 7 16 -16 34
16 Ein Frankfurt 32 8 9 15 -18 33
17 Stuttgart 32 9 6 17 -21 33
18 Hannover 32 6 4 22 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Dec -15 Wolfsburg – Hamburg 1–1

Match report

Hamburg Wolfsburg
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 D. Caligiuri
↦ C. Träsch
I. Olić 🔁
↦ P. Lasogga
64′
73′
Luiz Gustavo 0–1
Naldo
N. Bahoui 🔁
↦ M. Gregoritsch
74′
78′
🔁 J. Guilavogui
↦ M. Schäfer
Cleber Reis 🔁
↦ L. Holtby
84′
90′
🔁 B. Dost
↦ M. Kruse
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hamburg

1 J. Drobný G
5 J. Djourou
4 E. Spahić D
24 G. Sakai D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
7 I. Iličević M
14 A. Hunt M
40 G. Kačar M
8 L. Holtby M
23 M. Gregoritsch M
10 P. Lasogga F
Bench (7)
11 I. Olić
21 N. Bahoui
3 Cleber Reis
2 D. Diekmeier
9 S. Schipplock
20 A. Ekdal
36 T. Mickel

Wolfsburg

28 K. Casteels G
25 Naldo D
4 M. Schäfer
15 C. Träsch M
18 Dante D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
8 Vieirinha M
17 A. Schürrle M
27 M. Arnold M
30 P. Seguin D
11 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
7 D. Caligiuri
23 J. Guilavogui
12 B. Dost
1 D. Benaglio
31 R. Knoche
32 L. Putaro
38 I. Azzaoui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Benjamin Brand · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.