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Pro League
Lokeren
S T S U U
5–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
34%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
52%
69%
Both score Ø 66%
62%
69%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lokeren 11. · Mechelen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 26 20 1 5 +44 61
2 Gent 26 15 7 4 +23 52
3 Anderlecht 26 15 7 4 +17 52
4 Genk 25 14 3 8 +15 45
5 Oostende 26 13 6 7 +10 45
6 Standard 30 13 3 14 -10 42
7 Kortrijk 28 10 9 9 +1 39
8 Mechelen 29 10 7 12 -7 37
9 Charleroi 25 9 7 9 +3 34
10 Waregem 27 9 6 12 -3 33
11 Lokeren 29 8 8 13 -7 32
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -12 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 29 8 5 16 -15 29
16 Beveren 30 8 5 17 -24 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Apr -16 Mechelen – Lokeren 2–1

Match report

Lokeren Mechelen
1–0 H. Harbaoui
A. Patosi
25′
2–0 G. Galitsios
40′
Half-time 2–0
50′
🔁 N. Verdier
↦ M. Rits
3–0 H. Harbaoui
S. Bolbat
53′
62′
S. De Petter 3–1
D. Veselinović
4–1 H. Harbaoui
S. Bolbat
73′
M. Tičinović 🔁
↦ A. Patosi
74′
M. Terki 🔁
↦ J. Rassoul
75′
5–1 H. Harbaoui
M. Mirić
83′
84′
🔁 T. Matthys
↦ S. Hanni
B. Ňinaj 🔁
↦ K. Overmeire
88′
88′
🔁 I. Cissé
↦ J. Vanlerberghe
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
5 M. Marić
11 G. Galitsios
3 D. Odoi
15 S. Ingason
7 K. Overmeire
21 M. Mirić
20 J. Rassoul
9 H. Harbaoui
10 A. Patosi
50 S. Bolbat
Bench (7)
19 M. Tičinović
14 M. Terki
25 B. Ňinaj
1 B. Barry
17 C. Dessers
24 R. Gyselinck
29 L. Enoh

Mechelen

49 A. Moris
2 L. Paulussen
15 E. Cocalić
23 U. Vitas
30 J. Vanlerberghe
12 S. De Petter
94 S. Hanni
11 M. Rits
77 G. Claes
8 R. Leal
9 D. Veselinović
Bench (7)
99 N. Verdier
7 T. Matthys
44 I. Cissé
17 N. Ben Khalifa
28 A. Swolfs
33 A. El Messaoudi
3 E. Cobbaut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.