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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Hannover
S T S S U
2–0
Full-time
Hamburg
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 3. · Hamburg 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Hoffenheim 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Hannover 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 RB Leipzig 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Schalke 04 3 2 0 1 +3 6
6 Bayern Munich 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Hamburg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Augsburg 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Hertha 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Wolfsburg 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Mainz 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 -3 3
15 Freiburg 3 0 2 1 -3 2
16 Werder Bremen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Leverkusen 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Hamburg
I. Bebou 🔁
↦ Felipe
14′
Waldemar Anton 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Harnik
50′
60′
🔁 S. Salihović
↦ B. Jatta
73′
🔁 T. Knöll
↦ A. Ekdal
F. Klaus 🔁
↦ K. Karaman
78′
2–0 I. Bebou
82′
F. Hübner 🔁
↦ M. Harnik
84′
86′
🔁 G. Sakai
↦ Douglas Santos
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hannover

4-3-3
1 P. Tschauner G
5 Felipe D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
6 M. Bakalorz M
20 S. Sané D
14 M. Harnik F
24 N. Füllkrug F
26 K. Karaman F
Bench (7)
13 I. Bebou
11 F. Klaus
19 F. Hübner
8 M. Schmiedebach
10 S. Maier
23 M. Esser
25 O. Sorg

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 C. Mathenia G
9 K. Papadopoulos D
2 D. Diekmeier D
6 Douglas Santos D
28 G. Jung M
20 A. Ekdal M
8 L. Holtby M
12 Walace M
18 B. Jatta M
19 S. Schipplock F
11 A. Hahn F
Bench (7)
23 S. Salihović
26 T. Knöll
24 G. Sakai
5 M. Mavraj
13 J. Pollersbeck
15 L. Waldschmidt
16 V. Janjičić

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.