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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
0–2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
15 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 8
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 12. · AZ Alkmaar 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Vitesse 4 3 0 1 +7 9
3 Ajax 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Utrecht 4 3 0 1 +6 9
5 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 0 1 +4 9
6 AZ Alkmaar 4 3 0 1 +3 9
7 Heerenveen 4 2 2 0 +3 8
8 VVV Venlo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
9 Zwolle 4 2 1 1 +1 7
10 Groningen 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Heracles 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 2 1 -2 5
13 Excelsior 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Den Haag 4 1 0 3 -5 3
15 NAC Breda 4 0 1 3 -7 1
16 Twente 4 0 0 4 -5 0
17 Roda 4 0 0 4 -8 0
18 Willem II 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar
Roy Kortsmit 🟨
22′
34′
W. Weghorst 0–1
M. Vejinovic
Half-time 0–2
61′
W. Weghorst 0–2
A. Jahanbakhsh
S. Spierings 🔁
↦ L. Brogno
66′
R. Sanusi 🔁
↦ J. Chabot
75′
D. Duarte 🔁
↦ G. Dobson
80′
88′
🔁 F. Midtsjø
↦ M. Seuntjens
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 B. Vriends D
3 N. Marfelt D
2 S. Floranus D
6 J. Chabot D
8 K. Dougall M
4 G. Dobson M
7 L. Brogno F
10 R. Mühren M
11 C. Goodwin M
9 R. Ache F
Bench (11)
21 S. Spierings
18 R. Sanusi
13 D. Duarte
19 D. Volaš
20 A. Craninx
14 F. Bambock
30 L. Nienhuis
15 S. Fischer
12 F. Holst
16 I. Alhaft
17 T. Verhaar

Coach: A. Pastoor

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
30 S. Wuytens D
2 J. Svensson D
5 T. Ouwejan D
10 M. Vejinovic M
8 J. van Overeem M
20 M. Seuntjens F
15 G. Til M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (7)
6 F. Midtsjø
12 P. Hatzidiakos
16 G. Coutinho
17 J. Helmer
19 D. dos Santos
26 O. Wijndal
27 F. Friday

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.