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Bundesliga
Referee: Felix Brych
FC Koln
U S U S T
1–3
Full-time
Hamburg
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

70% Possession 30%
20 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 7
6 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match FC Koln 12. · Hamburg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Freiburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Ein Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 FC Koln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 RB Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Wolfsburg 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Hamburg
3′
🟨 Mërgim Mavraj
Frederik Sørensen 🟨
10′
C. Clemens 🔁
↦ M. Risse
25′
28′
A. Hahn 0–1
29′
🔁 L. Waldschmidt
↦ A. Hunt
34′
B. Wood 0–2
Half-time 0–2
S. Guirassy 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
46′
59′
🟨 Mërgim Mavraj
59′
🟥 Mërgim Mavraj
62′
🔁 G. Jung
↦ L. Waldschmidt
70′
🟨 Dennis Diekmeier
M. Jojić 🔁
↦ M. Lehmann
72′
Jonas Hector 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Kyriakos Papadopoulos
94′
🔁 L. Holtby
↦ F. Kostić
1–2 F. Sørensen
J. Córdoba
97′
100′
0 L. Holtby 1–3
A. Ekdal
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-4-2
1 T. Horn G
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
24 L. Klünter D
23 J. Horn D
33 M. Lehmann M
7 M. Risse M
21 L. Bittencourt M
13 Y. Ōsako F
15 J. Córdoba F
Bench (7)
17 C. Clemens
19 S. Guirassy
8 M. Jojić
5 D. Maroh
6 M. Höger
9 A. Rudņevs
35 S. Müller

Coach: P. Stöger

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 C. Mathenia G
5 M. Mavraj D
9 K. Papadopoulos D
2 D. Diekmeier D
4 R. van Drongelen D
14 A. Hunt M
20 A. Ekdal M
17 F. Kostić M
12 Walace M
11 A. Hahn F
7 B. Wood F
Bench (7)
15 L. Waldschmidt
28 G. Jung
8 L. Holtby
13 J. Pollersbeck
18 B. Jatta
19 S. Schipplock
24 G. Sakai

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Felix Brych · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.