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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Mainz
T S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,8
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
9 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mainz 12. · Ein Frankfurt 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 9 6 2 1 +18 20
2 Bayern Munich 9 6 2 1 +15 20
3 RB Leipzig 9 6 1 2 +6 19
4 Hoffenheim 9 4 4 1 +5 16
5 Schalke 04 9 5 1 3 +3 16
6 Hannover 9 4 3 2 +3 15
7 Ein Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 +1 14
8 M'gladbach 9 4 2 3 -4 14
9 Leverkusen 9 3 3 3 +6 12
10 Augsburg 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Hertha 9 2 4 3 -2 10
12 Mainz 9 3 1 5 -5 10
13 Stuttgart 9 3 1 5 -5 10
14 Wolfsburg 9 1 6 2 -3 9
15 Freiburg 9 1 5 3 -11 8
16 Hamburg 9 2 1 6 -9 7
17 Werder Bremen 9 0 5 4 -6 5
18 FC Koln 9 0 2 7 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mainz Ein Frankfurt
37′
S. Bell 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
S. Serdar 🔁
↦ F. Frei
57′
60′
🟨 David Abraham
2–0 S. Serdar
Y. Muto
71′
74′
🔁 D. Blum
↦ A. Rebić
V. Fischer 🔁
↦ L. Öztunali
83′
85′
🔁 J. de Guzmán
↦ M. Gaćinović
Kenan 🔁
↦ Y. Muto
87′
88′
🟨 Jetro Willems
88′
🔁 M. Russ
↦ M. Stendera
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mainz

4-3-3
27 R. Zentner G
18 D. Brosinski D
2 G. Donati D
16 S. Bell D
4 A. Diallo D
20 F. Frei M
6 D. Latza M
25 J. Gbamin M
8 L. Öztunali F
32 P. De Blasis M
9 Y. Muto F
Bench (7)
23 S. Serdar
14 V. Fischer
19 Kenan
3 L. Balogun
10 A. Maxim
17 Jairo Samperio
33 J. Huth

Coach: S. Schwarz

Ein Frankfurt

3-1-4-2
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
15 J. Willems M
3 S. Falette D
13 C. Salcedo D
17 K. Boateng M
11 M. Gaćinović M
21 M. Stendera M
27 M. Wolf M
9 S. Haller F
4 A. Rebić F
Bench (7)
7 D. Blum
6 J. de Guzmán
23 M. Russ
8 L. Jović
25 S. Medojević
26 D. Beyreuther
37 J. Zimmermann

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.