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Bundesliga

Referee: Felix Zwayer

Ein Frankfurt

T S T T T

2–1

Full-time

Mainz

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 32%

20%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

47%

53%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

53%

Average goals

2,6

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

8 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 17. · Mainz 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	31	26	3	2	+60	81
2	Dortmund	31	23	5	3	+45	74
3	Leverkusen	31	16	6	9	+15	54
4	Hertha	31	14	7	10	+2	49
5	M'gladbach	31	15	3	13	+14	48
6	Mainz	30	13	6	11	+3	45
7	Schalke 04	31	13	6	12	-3	45
8	FC Koln	31	10	10	11	-4	40
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	31	10	10	11	-6	40
10	Wolfsburg	31	10	9	12	-1	39
11	Hamburg	31	10	7	14	-7	37
12	Augsburg	31	9	9	13	-8	36
13	Darmstadt	31	8	11	12	-13	35
14	Hoffenheim	31	8	10	13	-12	34
15	Stuttgart	31	9	6	16	-17	33
16	Werder Bremen	31	8	7	16	-20	31
17	Ein Frankfurt	30	6	9	15	-20	27
18	Hannover	31	6	4	21	-28	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	14	0	1	+41	42
2	Dortmund	15	13	2	0	+31	41
3	M'gladbach	16	12	1	3	+23	37
4	Hertha	16	9	5	2	+10	32
5	Wolfsburg	16	8	5	3	+13	29
6	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+4	28
7	Leverkusen	15	8	3	4	+12	27
8	Mainz	15	8	2	5	+5	26
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	7	5	4	+5	26
10	Hoffenheim	15	5	6	4	-1	21
11	Hamburg	16	5	4	7	-2	19
12	FC Koln	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	Stuttgart	16	6	1	9	-8	19
14	Ein Frankfurt	15	4	6	5	-4	18
15	Augsburg	15	3	5	7	-7	14
16	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-8	14
17	Darmstadt	15	2	6	7	-11	12
18	Hannover	15	3	0	12	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	3	1	+19	39
2	Dortmund	16	10	3	3	+14	33
3	Leverkusen	16	8	3	5	+3	27
4	Darmstadt	16	6	5	5	-2	23
5	Augsburg	16	6	4	6	-1	22
6	FC Koln	15	5	6	4	-2	21
7	Mainz	15	5	4	6	-2	19
8	Hamburg	15	5	3	7	-5	18
9	Schalke 04	15	5	2	8	-7	17
10	Hertha	15	5	2	8	-8	17
11	Werder Bremen	16	5	2	9	-12	17
12	Stuttgart	15	3	5	7	-9	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	3	5	7	-11	14
14	Hoffenheim	16	3	4	9	-11	13
15	Hannover	16	3	4	9	-14	13
16	M'gladbach	15	3	2	10	-9	11
17	Wolfsburg	15	2	4	9	-14	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	15	2	3	10	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.